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Another Economic Stat to look at: Railroads
Association of American Railroads (AAR) ^ | 07/04/18 | TMA

Posted on 07/04/2018 10:07:13 AM PDT by TMA62

One stat to look for in this growing economy is the weekly rail statistics report from the Association of American Railroads (AAR). I have attached the link. It is a weekly summary of car loadings compared to last year. (Note: the tax cuts were passed in January so it is a good comparison to last year.)

Nearly everything is up in the 2-4 percent range. Petroleum (unit tank car trains) really up. The other big stat is intermodal (trailers on flatcars or double stack containers). Intermodal is around 6-8 percent growth from last year and is leading the recovery.

The AAR releases its weekly reports every Wednesday afternoon so it is a good source to look at.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: economy; railroads; taxcuts; williegreen; williegreenredux
There are several sources to gauge the ecomony's strength. Railroads is one of them.
1 posted on 07/04/2018 10:07:13 AM PDT by TMA62
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To: TMA62

this is 300 locomotives in 'storage' near Benson, Az. 3 mile long string of parked locos. I guess this is the RR "boneyard" like at Davis-Monthon AFB just a few miles away...?. Once these are back in service, I'll believe things are getting back to 'normal'. Good to see an uptick in use tho

2 posted on 07/04/2018 10:17:12 AM PDT by ASOC (Having humility really means one is rarely humiliated)
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To: TMA62

Siding near Marsh Station Road and I10 in Arizona. Click on image from May 11, 2016 Article.

In May 2018, they were ALL GONE!


3 posted on 07/04/2018 10:17:54 AM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR)
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To: TMA62

Friend of mine drives from the Phoenix area southwest to Yuma 3 or 4 times a year.

He made the trip last month and said he couldn’t believe the number of railcars he saw. Said he’d never seen that many.


4 posted on 07/04/2018 10:28:31 AM PDT by Az Joe (I AM TRUMP!)
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To: TMA62

Yep, just like factory capacity utilization - when assets are underutilized companies won’t be investing, expanding, or hiring more people.


5 posted on 07/04/2018 10:32:41 AM PDT by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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To: TMA62

Looks like coal loadings are still down a bit but I suppose they don’t turn around on a dime. Time will tell.


6 posted on 07/04/2018 10:36:20 AM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik
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To: TMA62

Bttt.

5.56mm


7 posted on 07/04/2018 10:42:10 AM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: TMA62

Long petroleum trains pass through my little city every day.
New Roads, Louisiana.


8 posted on 07/04/2018 10:43:44 AM PDT by HChampagne (Cruz supporter but I will support and vote for Trump.)
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To: TMA62

The author misses the use of intermodal rail cars: they come off of container ships, with IMPORTED GOODS in them if they are inbound from the coasts. If they are outbound toward the coasts, they are EXPORTS.

We want exports, do not want an increase in imports.


9 posted on 07/04/2018 10:44:24 AM PDT by datura
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To: SubMareener

Cool - thanks for the update.

BTW - you don’t have to shout...


10 posted on 07/04/2018 10:44:24 AM PDT by ASOC (Having humility really means one is rarely humiliated)
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To: TMA62

Thanks! #WINNING


11 posted on 07/04/2018 10:47:04 AM PDT by citizen (President Trump: HeÂ’s combined The Art of the Deal with AlinskyÂ’s Rules For Radicals. Game over.)
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To: TMA62

railroads in the chicago area are offering hiring bonuses ranging from 10k to 15k depending on skill specialty ... diesel technicians get the biggest bump


12 posted on 07/04/2018 10:58:25 AM PDT by TheRightGuy (I want MY BAILOUT ... a billion or two should do!)
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To: datura

I have been looking into the stats concerning containers. It is true the international traffic (both export and import) use containers. These are typically found on double stack trains. However, there is a rapidly growing area in container traffic, domestic container service. Companies like JB Hunt, EMP (link attached), Schneider, FedEx, UPS and others are providing containers for domestic only service. Why? Because railroads charge shippers the total weight they are hauling. In the past, trailers were used. The total weight included the tare weight of the trailer chassis, frame, wheels, fifth wheel, etc. was charged to the shipper by the railroad. For a large shipper like JB Hunt, the cost of shipping tare weight car really added up big time. The remedy was to reduce/eliminate the tare weight: Containers. Hence, one is seeing a lot of containers trains (double stacks).

In the past, container trains (in the ‘70’s and ‘80’s) meant purely international trade. Now, it is a mix of both international and domestic trade. If you see containers with JB Hunt, EMP, Schneider, Fed Ex, UPS etc., there is a very good chance that this is all domestic traffic.

It is not a surprise that intermodalism is leading economic recovery. Not necessarily of international trade, but the the versatility of intermodalism now offered to domestic traffic.

https://www.up.com/customers/premium/emp/index.htm


13 posted on 07/04/2018 11:24:10 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: ASOC

Well I did shout when we first drove by where they had been, so I shared that with you.


14 posted on 07/04/2018 11:27:15 AM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR)
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To: TMA62
The statistic we really want to follow is for container repositioning. Before President Trump, a container filled with goods would arrive here from China, but would go back empty, because we did not ship goods to China. "Repositioning" means moving the container to a positioning where it can get filled up again, and these are costs to the shipper. You can also see the disparity in shipping charges. From Hong Kong to LA might be $1500 or so, but from LA to Hong Kong would be $200.

When we start to balance our trade, repositioning costs will go down, because logistics companies will be able to find shippers going both directions, and costs will even out in both directions.

Trouble is I don't know how much these statistics are published to the public.

15 posted on 07/04/2018 11:47:16 AM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: SubMareener; TMA62

Motive power and rolling stock are not the only problem for class one railroads. Trackage and classification yard capacity are delaying shipments. The rail industry spent almost 40 years downsizing to single track lines and closing yards. Suitable for an Obama economy, not a Trump economy.


16 posted on 07/04/2018 11:51:42 AM PDT by buckalfa (I was so much older then, but I'm younger than that now.)
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To: TMA62

Nice catch. Thanks.


17 posted on 07/04/2018 2:13:02 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendix))
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To: TMA62

President Trump said in a July 3rd speech, that ‘if a pipeline gets damaged, there goes the oil, but not coal ...’.

Would it be advantageous for the nation, as a matter of national defense, (and a preclusion of discussed EMP), to have a small fleet of coal-fired locomotives?


18 posted on 07/04/2018 6:17:42 PM PDT by Terry L Smith (.)
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