No way in hell is Tim Kaine going to lose. In fact, I think your list of “good shots for defeat” probably shouldn’t have more than 5-6 names on it.
Joe Donnelly (Indiana)
Heidi Heitkamp (North Dakota)
Claire McCaskill (Missouri)
Bill Nelson (Florida)
Jon Tester (Montana)
I think Joe Manchin is a much stronger candidate than most Freepers seem to realize ... and there's the issue of West Virginia's welfare-state politics and a third party spoiler in that election to deal with, too.
If we swamp them in turnout, Kaine could very well lose.