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Bookies Have Donald Trump as Massive 2020 Favorite
Mediaite ^ | 2/20/2019 | Caleb Howe

Posted on 02/21/2019 5:05:15 PM PST by simpson96

Although there are now twelve (twelve!) already-declared candidates opposing Donald Trump in 2020, the nation’s gambling gurus are still heavily favoring him for the win in the next election. In fact, as the Washington Examiner reported Wednesday, the entry of Bernie Sanders as #12 in the race didn’t even budge the numbers.

In the latest batch of odds, released just after Bernie’s announcement, Trump is the overwhelming 3-2 favorite for reelection, writes the Examiner’s Washington Secrets columnist Paul Bedard, who spoke with the sportsbook manager at BetOnline.ag, Dave Mason.

(Excerpt) Read more at mediaite.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: gambling; trump2020

1 posted on 02/21/2019 5:05:15 PM PST by simpson96
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To: simpson96

KAG 2020!!!

God, please bless us with another six years of winning!!!


2 posted on 02/21/2019 5:08:19 PM PST by edie1960
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To: simpson96

I want to see him as 2 - 3 rather than 3 - 2. He’s favored to win the nomination, but not the odds on favorite to win the election. Yet.


3 posted on 02/21/2019 5:09:41 PM PST by Pearls Before Swine ( "It's always a party when you're eating the seed corn.")
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To: simpson96

Incumbents win.


4 posted on 02/21/2019 5:12:02 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You can't invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: simpson96

He’ll win.

Pelosi, Bernie and AOC are working way too hard to see him fail...

Never underestimate Donald Trump. He’s playing 3-D chess while everyone else is playing checkers...badly...

You people will start listening to me one of these days, I’ve said this literally since day 1...Yes literally, the day he announced he was running...

Never underestimate Donald J Trump. Just don’t do it.


5 posted on 02/21/2019 5:21:07 PM PST by Paleo Pete (Stercus Accidit)
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To: simpson96

An incredibly large number of conservatives did not vote for Trump in 2016. I personally know of 20-25 who did not vote for Trump. Nearly all of them would walk over glass to vote for him now.

Unfortunately all of us are terribly influenced by the MSM and we can’t really get an accurate idea of what’s really going on.

Unless the ruling class elites, Republicans and Democrats can sabotage the economy, it’s Trump in a major landslide in 2020. Bigly, Yuge.


6 posted on 02/21/2019 5:34:48 PM PST by Romans Nine
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To: simpson96
After the Democrat yellow bile spectacle they've put on since 6/16/2015, it's Trump in 2020 blowout win.

It's going to be the second biggest political upset in U.S. history.

7 posted on 02/21/2019 5:43:21 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: simpson96

Here’s an interesting overlay I found at 5 Dimes online sportsbook:

DJT is a 5/2 dog vs the field to win the election;

but he is 1/3 odds-on favorite to still be president on Inauguration day, 2021.

Go figure. There’s a way to play that.

Put $100 on him to win in November (if so, profit = $250)
Put $100 that he WON’T be President on Inauguration Day (if he isn’t, profit = $300).
Some other scenarios:
He loses in Nov. (which he won’t); you lose your $100 but collect $300 (profit = $200)
He wins in Nov but something happens to him and he’s not inaugurated; thus you win both bets (profit = $550)

I don’t see any way to lose. Anybody?

Anybody’s head swimming?


8 posted on 02/21/2019 5:45:02 PM PST by Migraine
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To: Pearls Before Swine

I don’t understand why you say he is not the odds on favorite to win the election. The article says he is an overwhelming 3-2 favorite.


9 posted on 02/21/2019 5:58:37 PM PST by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: TexasGator

3 to 2 is favorite, but not odds on. I think it’s a 40% chance. Since he’s pretty much a lock to be nominated,

That’s giving him a less than even chance of election. On their betting board, of course. And it’s very early.


10 posted on 02/21/2019 6:07:43 PM PST by Pearls Before Swine ( "It's always a party when you're eating the seed corn.")
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To: Pearls Before Swine

He is the favorite but has less than an even chance? I am still confused.


11 posted on 02/21/2019 6:10:25 PM PST by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: simpson96

Well, if the Dem platform is “no borders, no wall, no USA at all”, then DJT should have no problem.


12 posted on 02/21/2019 6:11:19 PM PST by Jim Noble (Freedom is the freedom to say that 2+2 = 4)
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To: Migraine
"Put $100 on him to win in November (if so, profit = $250)

He loses in November - Lose $100

Put $100 that he WON’T be President on Inauguration Day (if he isn’t, profit = $300)."

He serves out his term - Lose $100

13 posted on 02/21/2019 6:16:46 PM PST by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: simpson96

Well, if the Dem platform is “no borders, no wall, no USA at all”, then DJT should have no problem.


14 posted on 02/21/2019 6:16:50 PM PST by Jim Noble (Freedom is the freedom to say that 2+2 = 4)
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To: simpson96

Trump very well may win. I am petrified what lies after. We don’t think that far like the left.


15 posted on 02/21/2019 6:19:48 PM PST by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: shanover

I have been thinking the same thing and what kind of punishment the gope has in store for us after PDJT.Maybe a new party will come into being by such time.


16 posted on 02/21/2019 7:00:36 PM PST by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: edie1960

Why be a pessimist? O am hoping for 10+


17 posted on 02/21/2019 7:38:02 PM PST by genghis
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Since WWII, incumbent presidents have won re-elections 78% of the time. So Trump starts with that. His opponents are the weirdest collection of freaks this side of Barnum and Bailey. The race to out-left one another plays well in deep blue bastions like California and New York, but the election is won in the swing states.

The economy is strong. Trump has won wars. He has gotten us out of wars. He has kept many of his promises. If you voted for him, in all likelihood, you will prefer him to the alternatives.

Scandals? More people can see through the nonsense. Sure there is this ominous flirtation with socialism among the young, but the Democrats are going to spend so much time beating up each other, that they will be severely weakened, in my opinion. I mean, Trump will just have to replay the Democrat commercials against the eventual nominee.

Trump will outwork, out think, and out hustle anything the Democrats toss out. Trump wins. Its just the way it is. I am not saying we can cruise to victory, I am just saying, I think Trump SHOULD be the favorite.

18 posted on 02/21/2019 7:46:07 PM PST by fhayek
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To: simpson96

Pollsters care about politics. Bookies care about winning.


19 posted on 02/22/2019 2:54:45 PM PST by YogicCowboy ("I am not entirely on anyone's side, because no one is entirely on mine." - J. R. R. Tolkien)
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