Historians have been to focused on who lost the order, rather than who lost the cigars.
New information has been brought to light that a Private Lewinsky had been appointed official cigar smuggler of the confederacy, and it is likely that she blew the entire operation.
The story of finding it by happenstance has always seemed a little fishy. The kind of thing people report when the actual means of acquisition is too sensitive to report.
But...sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.