Time to wake up. Lancet study showed that of the 41 initial cases, 6 or 15% died. 100% got pneumonia. Only about 30% of those 31 have been release from the hospital.
How many of the currently infected are going to die? With an R0 of 2.6, even a quarantine of an effective rate of 99% would only slow the transmission rate by a third in areas outside of the quarantine areas, so how many ultimately will be infected?
Quarantine is the only tool available to stop the spread, and with this transmission rate and incubation period, it looks like that may not be possible.
Even if the death rate ends up being much lower, and the rate of those contracting pneumonia much lower, how much can any nation’s system handle?
Not possible with every country bringing back their diplomats , their families, security, etc.
I don’t know what can be handled but I do know of an American couple in China last year and the wife became ill. Her time in the hospital was horrific. Her husband had to bring her food and drink, bathe her and provide clean bedding or it didn’t get done. She had to pay for her medical services every day or no treatment. She was kept on a bed in a crowded hallway with other patients and they are not poor people. It’s just how it’s done there, so I can’t trust the Chinese to contain this disease.