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To: DoodleBob
"I figured as much..that’s why I posted to you..you are an island of rationality in sea of hysteria." You have information that shows the virus is not that transmissible and not that lethal and will burn out soon or are you just whistling in the dark like a little boy?
53 posted on 01/25/2020 4:47:06 PM PST by BusterDog
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To: BusterDog
You have information that shows the virus is not that transmissible and not that lethal and will burn out soon or are you just whistling in the dark like a little boy?

Oh boy...ok...I'll try again.

Transmissible: About 1700 cases out of about 70 million people quarantined. That's 2.4 cases for every 100,000 people...while this is a bit of an apples to oranges comparison, the death rate in America from infectious diseases in 2014 was 43/100,000. Since the infection rate would likely be higher, I'd say the China situation isn't hair-raising (yet).

lethal: 50 deaths out of 1,700 cases = 3% conditional death rate. Ebola's contemporary conditional death rate is 67%.

In 2018-2019 in the US, there were 10 deaths per 100,000 people from influenza. You had a bigger likelihood of dying in the USA from the flu than of dying from whateveritis in China.

Hard analysis always trumps hysteria. I hope that helps, son.

212 posted on 01/25/2020 6:47:08 PM PST by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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