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UK Coronavirus Crisis 'to Last Until Spring 2021 and Could See 7.9M Hospitalised'
The Guardian ^ | 3/15/2020 | Denis Campbell

Posted on 03/15/2020 5:49:29 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Exclusive: Public Health England document seen by Guardian says four in five ‘expected’ to contract virus

The coronavirus epidemic in the UK will last until next spring and could lead to 7.9 million people being hospitalised, a secret Public Health England (PHE) briefing for senior NHS officials reveals.

The document, seen by the Guardian, is the first time health chiefs tackling the virus have admitted that they expect it to circulate for another 12 months and lead to huge extra strain on an already overstretched NHS.

It also suggests that health chiefs are braced for as many as 80% of Britons becoming infected with the coronavirus over that time.

Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, has previously described that figure as the worst-case scenario and suggested that the real number would turn out to be less than that. However, the briefing makes clear that four in five of the population “are expected” to contract the virus.

The document says that: “As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalisation.”

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: britain; coronavirus; uk
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1 posted on 03/15/2020 5:49:29 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

bookmark


2 posted on 03/15/2020 5:55:12 PM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: nickcarraway

It’s not 15% that need to be hospitalized, just 15% of elderly, it’s why the death rate in Germany is 0.2% and Italy is so high (ignoring Italy’s strained medical system). Buckle up folks, between this virus and the economic damage what we’re doing right now will cause, time to tighten expenses.


3 posted on 03/15/2020 5:56:48 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: nickcarraway

Scare headline:

“UK Coronavirus Crisis ‘to Last Until Spring 2021 and Could See 7.9M Hospitalised’”

Clarifying info:

“Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, has previously described that figure as the worst-case scenario and suggested that the real number would turn out to be less than that.”

Guardian cashes that clickbait check.


4 posted on 03/15/2020 5:57:29 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: rb22982

You mean that in Italy the elderly are a higher percentage of the population?


5 posted on 03/15/2020 5:59:55 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Right!

And anyone who doubts these experts must be a complete idiot. We must believe every expert has no agenda, no ulterior motive, pure as Grand Tetons new snow. Remember,these experts were warning us 24/7 during all Obama administration viruses.


6 posted on 03/15/2020 5:59:57 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (It's the Wuhon Corona virus, not the U.S. coroner virus. Dem panic <> pandemic.)
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To: nickcarraway

This is a horrible virus, and extremely dangerous, but it will mutate and become less virulent. More specifically, less virulent mutants will have a selective advantage, because they don’t kill their hosts - and thus these viral strains will replicate more and persist longer). There less virulent forms will outcompete the more virulent strains, and we will concomitantly develop herd immunity. Hard to say how long this will take, but it very well could be as long as next spring.


7 posted on 03/15/2020 6:00:27 PM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: VanDeKoik

The Guardian is a communist rag sheet that spits out left wing propaganda on a daily basis. Then they have the laughable nerve to call out others for “fake news”. They are as bad as the New York Slimes.


8 posted on 03/15/2020 6:01:39 PM PDT by Flavious_Maximus
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To: nickcarraway

this is bull.


9 posted on 03/15/2020 6:08:30 PM PDT by Coleus
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To: nickcarraway

The moment I saw “The Guardian”, I did an eye roll...


10 posted on 03/15/2020 6:10:01 PM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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To: neverevergiveup

And Coronavirus has only killed 6,500 people worldwide! If the the fatality rate for this is one percent, why haven’t more people died? We keep hearing: “just wait...this is going to kill millions!” Again, why aren’t more people dying of this? The number of COVID-19 deaths is NOT increasing exponentially as some like to try and tell us is happening.

Why does the Fake News ignore:

*Actual number of Coronavirus deaths

*Majority of those who’ve died have been elderly and/or had suppressed immune systems for various reasons

*Most people recover from COVID-19

Most of what the Fake News reports is conjecture.


11 posted on 03/15/2020 6:10:06 PM PDT by Artcore (Trump 2020!)
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To: nickcarraway

Let’s just stretch it to 2024 and we’ll hold the election then.

This is getting almost hilarious. Everyday, they try to out-scare the scare-issue of the day before.


12 posted on 03/15/2020 6:13:32 PM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: GOP Poet

Google Ms. Sylvia Browne, good read. Ms. Brown, a psychic prophesied the Coronavirus in 2008 in her book. She described the virus very closely. She also said that the virus will end very abruptly when summertime temps rise to their normal levels worldwide.


13 posted on 03/15/2020 6:18:24 PM PDT by chopperk
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To: nickcarraway

Boris Johnson will end up killing more Britons through inaction than Hitler did.


14 posted on 03/15/2020 6:21:31 PM PDT by Trumpisourlastchance
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To: nickcarraway

The wuhan virus will end when the globalists get their people back in power in the U.S and U.K.


15 posted on 03/15/2020 6:21:38 PM PDT by Long Jon No Silver
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To: nickcarraway
No, the clusters hit the elderly in Italy. 41.3% of all cases in Italy are 70+ vs only 8.7% in South Korea. South Korea elderly 70+ case % is very close to its total population (10.1%). Italy 70+ is higher at 17.2% of population but 41.3% of those infected. Meanwhile, under 40 is 40% of the population but only 10% of cases.

see this article here for more information.

16 posted on 03/15/2020 6:31:28 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982

“Buckle up folks, between this virus and the economic damage what we’re doing right now will cause, time to tighten expenses.”

I just show my wife the article. We are discussing expenses now.

The question is how much will the economy shrink when we all start tighten down.

We will be using our camper for vacation in remote area if the virus does hang around. I have a feeling the US is holding back because Dr Fauci has hinted at it. They do not want to scare the public until it happens.

It still might not happen we might get lucky and the virus mutates into some less dangerous. I know wishful thinking.


17 posted on 03/15/2020 6:32:01 PM PDT by DEPcom
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To: neverevergiveup

“This is a horrible virus, and extremely dangerous”

Calm down. I’m reading daily emails from medical groups and they are predicting a 1% or less fatality rate.

I think if anything, this really highlights the failure of socialized medicine and that Orange Man knows how to handle a crisis. We are in good hands.


18 posted on 03/15/2020 6:32:02 PM PDT by lizma2
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To: Artcore

The statistic you cite is in the context of ~169,000 total cases. So the mortality rate of all comers is ~3.8%, as it now stands. To take this lightly is a profound mistake.


19 posted on 03/15/2020 6:33:48 PM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: neverevergiveup

We don’t know the denominator yet!!

Could be a couple million infected and didn’t get tested. That would change the numbers big time.


20 posted on 03/15/2020 6:45:46 PM PDT by lizma2
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