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To: MayflowerMadam

This article would have been much more helpful 2 or 3 wks ago than today. Before the panic set in.


13 posted on 03/27/2020 8:45:13 AM PDT by abb
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To: abb

“This article would have been much more helpful 2 or 3 wks ago than today. Before the panic set in.”

Sadly, the people who give talking points to Fauci were invested in prolonging the panic. He knew; he just didn’t share the information.


25 posted on 03/27/2020 8:58:38 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Immigrants with tuberculosis and polio are welcome, but youÂ’d better be able to prove your dog is v)
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To: abb

This article would have been much more helpful 2 or 3 wks ago than today. Before the panic set in.
+++++
This is very much a regional outbreak. In New York there were more than 6000 NEW CASES YESTERDAY. In California the total caseload is about 3000. The total number of cases in Orange County CA is under 300.

The current New York caseload is over 37,000 and is doubling every 3 to 4 days.

If I lived in New York, and particularly NYC, panic would be quite an appropriate emotion. Those people are really going to be suffering this week and next. After that - who knows.


29 posted on 03/27/2020 9:15:16 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: abb
Looks to me like the article was published on February 28. In fact, according to the disclosure form, Fauci submitted it to the Journal on February 16.

BTW, here's the money passage:

On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.

30 posted on 03/27/2020 9:18:36 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: abb

Yes, but you see, they got their multi-trillion-dollar bill passed, and they’re realizing they can’t keep up the hysteria until the November election.

Also, the economic damage has probably exceeded what they planned when they concocted this scheme.

As a result of the aforementioned, now it’s time for them to start slowly backing away, saying “See, our economy-destroying precautions worked! The virus wasn’t so bad after all. Oh well, better safe than sorry!”


42 posted on 03/27/2020 9:47:14 AM PDT by NorthWoody (A vote is like a rifle: its usefulness depends upon the character of the user. - Theodore Roosevelt)
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