One of the numbers I look at most closely is today’s deaths divided by total deaths.
That is a solid indicator (in most cases) of how steep the curve is in a given area, regardless of how well they are testing and reporting.
Today’s winner looks like Mexico:
Today: 13 CV deaths
Total: 50 CV deaths.
Of course those numbers are wildly understated, but that is a red flag that Mexico is a country to watch.
Mexico City has a population of 8.9 million.
The high temperature today in Mexico City is 78 degrees.
It's the best indicator I know of...also the fastest indicator on how well treatments may be working!
I think the numbers just aren’t big enough yet. Not that I want them to get higher but the kind of “noise” we are seeing tells me there just isn’t enough data yet for the curves to settle down. Yet the “slope” as you say tends to indicate we will be getting bigger numbers and the curves will settle in very nicely. I had hoped two weeks ago we would top out this week. I was wrong.
For those who want to know exactly what it is like to be really sick with this. Here is the experience of a college student. The interesting new idea is using hot water or turmeric milk to deal with the lung/throat congestion. I imagine hot tea would work, and especially slippery elm tea. From the description I imagine hydration is very important.
“I have been tested positive for covid 19 and today is the 10th day, well I am recovering now. I want to share my experience, how it really feels like having corona virus in your body.
On the very first day symptoms high fever and headache, the next day vomiting dizziness and fainted four times in a day, and eventually need to call for an ambulance and admitted in hospital, they just kept saline bottle and tested for the covid 19 and later that day midnight around 1:30am sent me home. Came home and slept and woke up started fainting as I was having no energy to speak, stand or walk somehow with the help of my housemates I took some fluids gained some energy and I was having a different kind of sensation in body which I have never experienced in my life, which doesn’t make you sit, stand or sleep.
It feels like your body is continuously working on something may be it was battling against the virus, It is more like something sitting on your chest which will irritate you so badly, how much ever you eat or drink you energy drains so fast like charging mobile to 100% after using just an hour your battery is critically low, and it continued for the next seven days and when it come to breathing thick mucus stuck in the throat which doesn’t comes out to spit or we can’t swallow it. Tried many ways to get rid of it, which was causing shortness of breath until you drink some hot water or turmeric milk it was not melting and coming out to spit or swallowed into your stomach and then it gives some relief and I was taking these hot water for every 15 mins and which allowed me to breath properly.
When ever I feel low energy immediately there was a temperature in body and I used only Tylenol (paracetamol). Even after 9 days still I feel exhausted, the diet which helped me to cope with this virus and to have some energy rice, eggs, glucose dextrose, bananas, oranges, apple, lemon, turmeric milk and hot water every 15–20 mins and I forgot to mention about the lab test results were informed by the doctor on the same day I discharged later in the afternoon around 3:20pm I received a call from the doctor that I have been tested positive for covid 19 and said that I need to self isolate myself for the next two weeks.
I says that no one should go through this virus as I have seen the worst phase of my life in the past few days being far away from your parents coping with the loneliness and battling with this virus is not an easy task. Why the govt is stressing so hard on this virus and why the old age are dropping you will come to know when you experience this virus.
So, please stay home, don’t leave your home until unless it is very urgent nothing is more important than your life. Luckily I was having some helping hands and they helped me a lot with the food and all necessities every day and I wanna thank them and may god bless all the people that helped me and prayed for me.”