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To: Outlaw76

Looks like the death rate of tested people is about 1.5%. The best data of all is that the positive tested numbers are flattening.

We’re turning the corner.

This is for the worst-hit state in the Union.


6 posted on 04/08/2020 12:27:51 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (Seek you first the kingdom of God, and all things will be given to you.)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

We may be turning the corner in NY. Expect spikes elsewhere. Don’t be gamed by the players.


11 posted on 04/08/2020 12:47:15 PM PDT by RKV (He who has the guns makes the rules)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner
Looks like the death rate of tested people is about 1.5%.

May I suggest that is because the death among those with negative test is vanishingly small?

Dividing deaths (5489) by those who tested positive (138,863) shows 4.0 percent. That assumes all the dead were tested, which is not likely the case.

That is still optimistic because among those tested positive in the last week or so, some are yet to die. Divide the total deaths on 4/7 by those tested positive on 3/1. Now it's 7.2 percent. The real number is is somewhere in between.

15 posted on 04/08/2020 12:51:43 PM PDT by IndispensableDestiny
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