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A good explanation of the SIR model used to predict coronavirus cases. An understanding of some math is required. Kevin Systrom is not an epidemiologist, he founded Instagram. Also take a look at The Numbers Behind Social Distancing.
1 posted on 04/10/2020 10:58:37 AM PDT by IndispensableDestiny
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To: IndispensableDestiny
Fun stuff! But it's GIGO - case counts have at least as much to do with prevalence of testing as with prevalence of the disease.
2 posted on 04/10/2020 12:06:23 PM PDT by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: IndispensableDestiny

This is such a perfect opportunity to use AI to develop really good models. So much data, and so many different tactics taken in so many countries. Let it time itself, until it accurately predicts the actual situation in each major country. Include political philosophies...


4 posted on 04/10/2020 1:23:41 PM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Unredact the 99 Collyer Report!!!)
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