Lukashenko is basically the last of the old Stalinist types out there in eastern Europe. There are no good guys in this mix up.
Russia is pretty serious about not having NATO move right up to their border so they are happy for Belarus to stay just how it is. The EU is an aggressive expansionist entity and intends to do exactly that... so they need to pull a Ukraine in Belarus.
The very last concern for anyone involved there is a better way of life in Belarus.
precisely