Posted on 09/24/2020 10:01:41 AM PDT by Conserv
If memory serves, the 2016 RCP average of final polls was 5% too.
About $500,000 a rally for the type tomorrow.
They sell tons of merchandise and get emails for campaign solicitations, they gather at least ten times the attendance emails, sometimes a hundred thousand voters will apply to attend. Good campaign lists of motivated voters are worth their weight in gold. These rallies are a net business gain.
So, merchandise offset (through email and attendance) with a great voter email list justifies the cost.
Question: Do we REALLY want a guy who wasn’t smart enough to launder his corrupt extortion of US $$ to foreign nations through a numbered account in Zurich even in the same room with the NUCLEAR FOOTBALL?
Wonder if junior will do Joe’s time?
https://www.brighteon.com/77051616-8fbc-433e-aa36-e824ab1fd95c/
Hard not to be encouraged (nationally at least) considering the very different results in the poll conducted in the same time frame from the same university during the last election. Democrat polling at the same number in both polls; but Trump polling 5% higher this time.
Christopher Newport Univ. 9/9 - 9/21 796 LV 48 (Biden) 43 (Trump) Biden +5
Christopher Newport Univ. 9/26/2016 1,003 LV 48% (Clinton) 38% (Trump)
All polls reflect the outcome the guy paying for it wants. That’s how they stay in business.
Bevan is on WGN Radio every week - He is a 100% Never Trumper.
Hell, in the business world I would never try to average test market results.
I don’t see it that way. I worked for a major media company for many years and when we did polls (they were outsourced, of course), we never asked for a certain, specific or even hinted outcome. Having said that, I loathe the media with a passion and yes, there is much bias. You may not believe me, but these people did not think they were bias...they are completely blind.
But you are correct. Biden is polling worse in Virginia than Hillary did and Virginia is winnable this year for Trump for many reasons, but it will still be a hard slog, but it is not out of the question.
Trump had to pull all his ads in Penn and Mich since he is running low on cash and I can attest to that. I was in Philadelphia for two weeks and I watched the local 11 news on multiple channels to see the ad wars. I only saw Biden ads for two weeks. I did not see one Trump ad. Biden often had one ad every commercial break - sometimes two ads. They were mostly about social security and how Trump was going to impoverish seniors by taking it away and the second issue was health care and how Trump was going to kill people. So, Trump should focus more on Penn than Va, since Penn is more important, but good things are happening out there!
That's the entire point of aggregation like RCP does.
If you have a diversity of polls with different methodologies and track each of them over time you can see movement trends.
If almost every poll, regardless of it's bias, is moving in one direction over the course of several weeks that's significant.
Does the average lead mean much? No. But the direction of sentiment does.
Never trust people who say "Hope I'm wrong" or "Hope you're right".
Wasn’t talking about you.
We have a couple of posters who rush to every positive thread, especially polling threads, to immediately begin discrediting the news.
A couple have done it on here every election cycle for the past six years or more.
We will see, the rallies and support look good
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