Posted on 07/10/2021 12:26:42 PM PDT by BeauBo
(President Trump's Operation Warp Speed Update)
(New Cases jumped over 26K for the second day, highest in six weeks - Hospitalizations slightly rising, Deaths also now seem to have turned back upward - Over 1/3 billion vaccine doses administered in the USA, more than one for every resident - Vaccination slow but steady on this report)
Total Vaccine Doses Delivered: 386,985,420 (21,435,300 J&J)
Administered: 333,565,404 (12,791,315 J&J)
People Vaccinated, At Least One Dose: 183,836,917
Fully Vaccinated: 158,954,417
(Excerpt) Read more at covid.cdc.gov ...
Total Vaccine Doses Delivered: 927,000 (OK) (1,000 J&J - first tiny delivery in about three weeks)
Administered: 599,000 (Weak, but becoming the new norm) (39,000 J&J - Weak)
People Vaccinated, First Shot: 294,000 (Weak = new normal).
Fully Vaccinated: 325,000 (Weak - but the new norm)
% Total Population with at least a First Shot: 55.4% (up 0.1)
Those ≥ 18 Years of Age (Adults): 67.5% (up 0.1)
Those ≥ 65 Years of Age: 88.7 % (up 0.1) (79% Fully Vaccinated - up 0.1)
New Cases upward significantly for the second day on this report (over 26K) - the highest in six weeks. Hospitalizations are climbing slowly.
320 Deaths (also seems to be starting to head back up).
The pop in new case numbers may be random fluctuation, but it is starting to look more like the start of the Delta wave.
The EU has delivered enough coronavirus vaccine doses to member states to reach a target to fully vaccinate at least 70% of adults in the bloc. They anticipate reaching that target by the end of the month.
Hospital and ICU admissions up about 40% in the past 3 weeks here in CA. Of course, 40% of a very small number is a very small number, and 40% in 3 weeks isn't exactly a "spike". I'm sure there will be some local hot spots but overall, I don't see Delta being a large wave.
We are seeing about 2-3 times what we were seeing few weeks ago. Younger and unvaccinated. More covid icu than floor pts. Which is different. Numbers still way below winter numbers.
I don’t see those numbers coming back unless we have a variant with no protection from previous infection or vaccine. Unlikely.
BOO!
Are you scared yet?
😜🤪🤣😱😻🙀
Oh! My! God!
There must be bodies three layers thick piling up in the streets!
I think of the infectiousness of the original “variant” of COVID-19 virus as spreading relatively slowly like molasses flowing. Despite this slow flow it had little problem encountering new people who lacked immunity as immunity was rare.
The Delta variant taking hold now is much more infectious than the original variant and I liken it to flowing like fresh tree sap (essentially sugar water). There are many fewer “targets” who still lack immunity but the “fast flowing” Delta variant can still encounter them after “bypassing” the immune members of the community. Delta will find many people who lack immunity but, fortunately, they will be mostly younger and healthier. The good news is that these encounters with Delta will confer immunity. I think the Delta increase in infections will build and then dissipate much more quickly than our earlier episodes.
The original Wuhan virus had an R0 of 1.3.
The April 2020 variant that actually spread well had an R0 of 2.5.
The UK, South Africa, and Brazil variants have R0s somewhere in the 4.5 - 5.3 area.
The Delta (India) variant has an R0 closer to 8.
For comparison, the R0 for smallpox is 3.5 - 6, the R0 for polio is 5 - 7, and the R0 for measles is 12 - 18.
If the anti-vaxxers are correct, shouldn’t we be seeing people falling over dead in Walmart from the vaccines?
“If the anti-vaxxers are correct, shouldn’t we be seeing people falling over dead in Walmart from the vaccines?”
**************************************************************
Well, they are falling over dead in Walmart… in the fevered and deranged imaginations of the anti-vaxxers.🙀🙀
Are we vaccinating the border hordes? This is what is causing the uptick-30% had Chinus and we mass distributed them across the country. This is a deliberate reinfection!
“dissipate much more quickly “
Indications from India is that will happen.
OTOH the strong wall of people here with vax or natural immunity will slow it’s spread down, so I expect a longer wave here, but with a lower ‘surge’.
most at risk are rural people who have been less exposed to the virus and have been poorly served by the vaccination effort IMO.
Astonishing Spike in Post-Vaccine Deaths Gets No Media Coverage as Over 2,000 Reported THIS WEEK Alone
file under: California Darwin Candidates
Just spoke with a pharm (sstill trying to find J&J shot)
Pharm said that hispanics are coming in three, four, five times for a shot using different names - because a shot is a free entry into the lottery! He’s also got people coming in demanding a third shot because they’ve heard they need a booster. He’s spending more time explaining why NOT to get another shot than he does giving shots!
More on fractional dosing:
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1413917224947970055
Interesting tidbit in comments:
“Pfizer is making a 1/3 dose for children and Moderna is presumably settling on something similar. “
“Over 1/3 billion vaccine doses administered in the USA, more than one for every resident...”
How can it be more than one per resident? This is as bad as voter fraud.
Because you get 2 doses. Well, not you, but you get the idea. The tiny fraction of folks who got the J&J only needed 1 shot.
(The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don’t help them do it.)
I think its time to change your tag line.
Good to see that. While I’m off the opinion that vaccinating children under 18 is at best unnecessary, a large population of kids will be vaccinated regardless so hopefully a reduced dose will ameliorate almost all risk.
“these encounters with Delta will confer immunity.”
Yep. The hard way or the easy way, we will get to herd immunity
“I think the Delta increase in infections will build and then dissipate much more quickly than our earlier episodes.”
It is definitely a faster burner. Mrsmith posted a link to analyst some time ago, who estimated how much of the population remained without immunity, for Delta to burn through, before reaching Delta’s Herd Immunity Threshold - about 10%, or 30 something million.
That is about half the total number infected in last Winter’s big wave. As you point out shape of the curve will likely be different because Delta moves fast, and also because immunity is now widely different, in different parts of the Country.
Some places are only around 30% vaccinated, while others are over 80%. Naturally acquired immunity is a big wild card, but some places could see a pretty significant surge this month, like Springfield Missouri is having.
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