That's 45 in 10,000. If 10,000 of these males catch covid, 45 will die. That's also 1/222. If 222 of these males catch covid, 1 will die.
A healthy 40-59 year old male: 2.65%. 265 in 10,000; 1 in 38.
Add diabetes and his chances of dying jump to 19.34%. 1934/10,000; 1/5.
IMHO, it really helps to turn percentages into absolute numbers. For me, it's much easier to grasp the risk.
How about a vaccine death rate calculator?
That would be far more useful
If the number of COVID “deaths” are anywhere close to accurate, I don’t particularly like the percentages.
Good calculator.
It should be noted that the rates apply to the infected and not the general population.
Time to fortify my covid bunker.
I am a reasonably healthy 63 y.o and I have a 5% chance of dying from the disease? That seems rather high.
>> For a healthy male 20-39, the chance of dying is 0.45%.
Case mortality for that age group is more like 0.01% or lower.
Not sure I like this. Studies show that obesity raises your death rate 300%. Yet it does not ask that. Vitamin deficient people die 200% more often. Yet it does not ask that question. These two were the greatest death causing commodities according to the largest study in America on the issue.
And yet, this administration and their “scientists” shrugs at the border risk of unknown people streaming into this country, BLM terrorists can congregate and get in people’s faces without any government action, and we’re supposed to believe them?
I’m very surprised that the model does not take account of BMI. Seems like overweight is a very big co-morbidity.
Pretty cool, but he forgot the main one of BMI.
GIGO
The immediate problems I see with this site is that he’s only able to compile and then project deaths based on data that makes it into the database, without regard to whether that is comprehensive data, and/or whether deaths attributed to Covid-19 are really FROM Covid-19.
For example, asymptomatic infections or cases of very mild-symptoms might never have come to the attention of the medical community. Those individuals would have survived, but are unlikely to have been included. This would result in overstating the chances of death.
Similarly, it isn’t clear if the data is accurate as to the cause of death. Extreme cases would be categorizing a death from an auto accident as a Covid-19 death when the victim happen to have Covid-19 at the time of the accident. This would also overstate the risk of dying “due” to Covid-19.
But, as noted by another, being 63 y.o. and otherwise very healthy, having a 1 in 20 chance (5.15%) of dying if I should catch Covid-19 seems very high vs. reality.
I just calculated my chance of dying if infected (I don’t believe it’):
Take extra precautions
You have an estimated 29.95% chance of dying from covid-19 if infected
Please note this is just an estimation, and not an absolute assessment of the effects covid-19 might have on you.
“You have an estimated 79.83% chance of dying from covid-19 if infected”
If I get, I’m a goner.
I died already.
Here’s one I used. It takes into account a few more factors than this one, apparently. https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator
For a healthy male 20-39, the chance of dying is 0.45%
Basically lying by statistical manipulation
This leaves out the chance of them getting the disease.
There has been 3,376 total deaths from Covid in this age group.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
Way over estimates things.
Says I have a 2.65% chance of death. In my age it’s more like 0.5% chance of hospitalization and 0.05% chance of death.
Obesity, one of the primary comorbidities, is absent.
I find it interesting that some of the comorbidities I have read have the highest effect are not included - probably because there is not enough data gathered by medical “professionals” to do a valid analysis. Things like Vitamin D deficiency, Zinc deficiency, etc.