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For a healthy male 20-39, the chance of dying is 0.45%.

That's 45 in 10,000. If 10,000 of these males catch covid, 45 will die. That's also 1/222. If 222 of these males catch covid, 1 will die.

A healthy 40-59 year old male: 2.65%. 265 in 10,000; 1 in 38.

Add diabetes and his chances of dying jump to 19.34%. 1934/10,000; 1/5.

IMHO, it really helps to turn percentages into absolute numbers. For me, it's much easier to grasp the risk.

1 posted on 09/27/2021 11:54:05 AM PDT by Brookhaven
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To: Brookhaven

Your link doesn’t work...


35 posted on 09/27/2021 1:34:47 PM PDT by An American in Turkiye
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To: Brookhaven

Looks like your chances of dyeing increase with age and any underlying health conditions. Pretty much the same if you were not infected with the Corona in the first place. Not impressed.

Need one that predicts when a healthy 30 yo male with no comorbidities can succumb to the virus (die) within 48 hours of infection and a yet 90 yo overweight female with heart disease, high blood pressure, and diabetes will just be asymptomatic.


38 posted on 09/27/2021 1:52:09 PM PDT by CodeJockey (Dum Spiro, Pugno)
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To: Brookhaven

These numbers are bullshit. The app is bullshit


41 posted on 09/27/2021 2:39:38 PM PDT by olepap
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To: Brookhaven
Re: "For a healthy male 20-39, the chance of dying is 0.45%."

I stopped reading right there.

That is about 10X times higher than the death rate from influenza.

Healthy young people are NOT dying at a 10X higher rate than influenza.

Please note that the CDC does not count flu deaths and COVID deaths the same way.

Influenza + Pneumonia or ARDS death = 10%-20% Influenza death

COVID + Pneumonia or ARDS death = 100% COVID death

42 posted on 09/27/2021 3:23:02 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: Brookhaven

More than a month ago, the Cleveland Clinic estimated that 120 million Americans had been infected with the COVID virus.

700,000 Americans have died according to the CDC.

700,000 divided by 120 million = 0.0058

0.0058 = 0.58%

In other words, regardless of age, regardless of health status, only 0.58% of COVID infected Americans have died from COVID.

This COVID calculator is a TOTAL scam!


43 posted on 09/27/2021 3:36:20 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: Brookhaven

These are NH numbers. I believe we have a sufficient number of cases to be statistically valid. Divide the number of deaths by the number of cases per age group to get a rough sense of your worst-case risk (I think NH is counting death with covid rather than death by covid too).

https://www.covid19.nh.gov/dashboard/case-summary


45 posted on 09/27/2021 4:15:14 PM PDT by PTBAA
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To: Brookhaven

looking at what appears to be very high death percentages by age/se groups, it occurs to me that this an ‘uncorrected’ death count in that anyone dying with a mile of a CV-19 positive individual will be classified as a Covid death.


46 posted on 09/27/2021 4:15:37 PM PDT by dirtymac ( Now Is The Time For All Good Men To ComeTo The Aid Of Their Country! NOW)
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To: Brookhaven

The Ohio “Dashboard”.. Lots of numbers, by county..

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards


50 posted on 09/27/2021 5:07:03 PM PDT by unread (Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities - Voltaire)
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To: Brookhaven

So, I’m still asking the question... What happened to the herd immunity that Herr Doktor Fuchie told us about at the beginning of this attack.???


51 posted on 09/27/2021 5:21:45 PM PDT by unread (Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities - Voltaire)
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To: Brookhaven

This is a very, very, poor calculator, for all it asks about is your age group and gender, and 5 conditions, not even mentioning being obese or overweight, nor how fit you otherwise are (like how far/long can you run), and what your living and working environment is like (pop. density and level and length of close contact).


52 posted on 09/27/2021 5:39:07 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Turn to the Lord Jesus as a damned+destitute sinner, trust Him to save + be baptized + follow Him!)
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