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Deutsche Bank warns of a 20% bear market in 2023
Yahoo Finance ^ | Wed, April 6, 2022, 3:11 PM | Sam Ro

Posted on 04/06/2022 5:38:32 PM PDT by BenLurkin

Deutsche Bank made waves on Tuesday when its economists became the first of the major Wall Street analysts to say the U.S. economy would soon go into recession.

But it does reflect mounting concerns about the economy, especially as the Federal Reserve moves aggressively to cool business activity in its efforts to fight inflation. And last week’s inversion of the 2s10s yield curve — a metric with a pretty good track record of predicting recessions — only emboldened those expecting economic growth to turn negative.

We maintain our forecasts for the S&P 500 (5250) and the Stoxx 600 (550) for year-end 2022; with a typical recession correction of 20% in late 2023. Our projections for equity demand-supply this year suggest equities should be well supported by strong inflows, a recovery in positioning to at least somewhat above neutral and buybacks, but this support should start to slow with growth in the second half of next year.

...

In 2023, we expect equity markets to hold up well through the summer before the US falls into recession and for equities to correct by a typical 20% as it begins, before bottoming half-way through and recovering prior levels.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: 2023; bearmarket; deutschebank; economy; recession; stockmarket

1 posted on 04/06/2022 5:38:32 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

What about 2022? Schmucks.


2 posted on 04/06/2022 5:40:49 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: BenLurkin

2023, just in time for the Rats to blame the Repuke house.


3 posted on 04/06/2022 5:53:08 PM PDT by wiseprince (Me,)
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Better than mean tweets


4 posted on 04/06/2022 6:01:09 PM PDT by dsrtsage ( Complexity is just simple lacking imagination)
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To: BenLurkin

The only thing that matters is keeping it afloat till the republicans take over.


5 posted on 04/06/2022 6:31:13 PM PDT by Track9 (You are far too inquisitive not to be seduced…)
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To: Track9

Always bet on inflation. You make more money......

Investors understanding this.

No politician in history has ever survived deflation, recession or depression.


6 posted on 04/06/2022 6:46:56 PM PDT by blackberry1
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To: BenLurkin

I’m long oil.


7 posted on 04/06/2022 8:22:54 PM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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