Iranian Regime tv Channel One hacked while it was airing Khamenie speech

various | 10-8-22

[dfwgator]

I was looking for the Used Cars reference.

[dfwgator]

“3CP1 on your television dial, Russian Television....”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbgJGmyAlmI

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 8

Regime messaging suggests that key regime officials could be posing to gain or retain favor as part of efforts to shape the succession to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei rather than focusing on responding to protestor grievances.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 29 Iranian cities in 20 provinces.
Iranian security forces are using increasingly violent and lethal means to suppress protests.
Protestors have demonstrated the capacity to coordinate demonstrations despite extensive internet and telecommunication restrictions.
Protest rhetoric has evolved to include revolutionary calls to topple the regime.
Oil industry workers and bazaar merchants participated in strikes on October 8.
The IRGC did not attack anti-regime Kurdish militia positions for the first time since September 26, likely in part because the Iraqi parliament met to discuss the attacks.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-8

[PLMerite]

The woman in the middle of the bottom photo is being naughty. I like her.

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 9

Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 18 cities in 15 provinces.
Anti-regime group The Neighborhood Youth of Tehran announced their expansion to other unnamed cities in Iran.
Some low-level military and security personnel may have defected.
Iranian leadership may have ordered the IRGC Ground Forces to participate directly in the protest crackdown.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-9

[nuconvert]

Petrochemical facility in Bushehr went on strike as well as oil refinery workers in the south.

Oil industry workers in Asalooyeh clashed with security forces

[gleeaikin]

Here is a very interesting recent update on the Iran situation. It ties in well with today’s announcement of oil workers joining the protests. The first and last sentences suggest that the powers that be suspect there really may be an overthrow of the current regime. If that happens, Iran will probably not be continuing to supply those nasty drones to Russia to use against Ukraine.

I also wonder what might happen with regard to relations with some of the Stans, especially ones that already are not so fond of Russia. Perhaps major changes in the nuclear situation for Iran. Lots to ponder and hope for.

[gleeaikin]

The first and last sentence I just referred to were those at the beginning and end of the statements above the map at comment #43

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 10

Ongoing, anti-regime protests could interact with and feed off of preexisting insurgencies in Iran in ways that could prolong, reinvigorate, and exacerbate the unrest.
Iranian security forces have launched a brutal crackdown on protestors in Sanandaj, Kurdistan Province.
Thousands of oil workers reportedly participated in strikes and anti-regime protests on October 10, which could pose a significant threat to the regime’s oil production if prolonged.
Protest activity will likely increase in size and scale on October 12.
Judiciary Chief Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei adopted a conciliatory tone toward protesters on October 10, breaking with the pattern of regime senior leader statements since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s speech on October 3.
Supreme Leader Succession
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-10

[AdmSmith]

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

More than 1,000 Iranian oil workers have joined in nationwide protests over the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, who was detained over an alleged Islamic dress code violation and died in custody.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_yjJoPkFFA
video

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 11

The concentration of security forces in Kurdistan Province could exacerbate Iranian security forces’ bandwidth issues—a key vulnerability in the regime’s internal security apparatus. The regime relies on a small number select, highly ideological units from the IRGC, Basij, and LEC to crack down on unrest and thus does not have enough manpower to cover the entire country.[9] The regime shuffles its forces to where they are needed most—typically the restive border regions—when protests erupt.[10]

Simultaneous protests in the border areas and major cities strain these forces—a vulnerability that protesters and other anti-regime groups may seek to exploit. Anti-regime, Persian-language social media accounts have called for protester solidarity with the demonstrators in Sanandaj and Zahedan.[11] Deadly clashes erupted between protesters and security forces in Zahedan on September 30.[12]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-11

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 12

Iranian leadership is still largely speaking to itself rather than to the Iranian people.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 29 cities in 18 provinces.
Protesters continue to demonstrate their capability to coordinate large-scale demonstrations despite expanding regime censorship and increasingly violent suppression.
Commercial and industrial groups are increasingly attempting to coordinate protests and strikes between cities.
Iranian proxy media channels in Iraq and Lebanon emphasized anti-West messaging from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s October 12 speech.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-12

[AdmSmith]

Security Forces Intensify Crackdown On Iranian Kurds

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDkECK8Rwi0

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 13

Expanding protests could strain Iranian state security services beyond their capabilities to respond in the coming days
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 17 cities in 12 provinces.
The Iraqi parliament elected Kurdish compromise candidate Abdul Latif Rashid as president.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-13

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 14

The IRGC may be mobilizing retired servicemembers and other affiliated officers to suppress protests in Tehran on October 15.
Protesters have killed more Iranian security personnel in the current protest wave than in any previous wave in the regime’s history according to regime statistics.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 11 cities in seven provinces.
Social media accounts that are representing themselves as youth groups organizing and coordinating protests called for countrywide unrest on October 15.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-14

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 15

A major fire broke out at the Evin prison in Tehran on October 15, and the regime used live rounds and tear gas against prisoners and nearby protestors.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 22 cities in 16 provinces, although this number is almost certainly higher.
A Persian-language social media account tweeted a political manifesto, calling for a peaceful transition to establish a democratic, secular Iranian government.
IRGC-affiliated Telegram channels claimed that unidentified militants fired six rockets at the al Omar oilfield, which houses US servicemembers, in eastern Syria.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-15

[linMcHlp]

Thanks for the links.

[AdmSmith]

IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 16

The IRGC may resume attacks against positions in Iraqi Kurdistan in the coming days.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 14 cities in 12 provinces on October 16.
Iranian state-run outlets have struggled to cohere a unified narrative following reports of violence at Evin Prison in Tehran.
Iranian security forces are increasingly targeting high schools in an attempt to quell unrest, which could reinvigorate ongoing protests.
Iranian officials are increasingly describing ongoing protests as being revolutionary in nature and acknowledge that recent demonstrations target the foundation of the regime.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-16

[nuconvert]

“Iranian officials are increasingly describing ongoing protests as being revolutionary in nature and acknowledge that recent demonstrations target the foundation of the regime.”

IOW, automatic death sentence.

[AdmSmith]

The statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine due to the supply of weapons by Iran to Russia for waging war against Ukraine:

The Iranian side was told that the supply of Iranian weapons to Russia contradicts the position of neutrality, respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, publicly declared by the top leadership of Iran.

In response to such an unfriendly act, the Ukrainian side decided to deprive the ambassador of Iran in Ukraine of accreditation, as well as to significantly reduce the number of diplomatic personnel of the Iranian embassy in Kyiv.

https://twitter.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1581911088286732288

[AdmSmith]

1 more Iranian-made drones downed, official number rises to 37.

Air defense destroyed nine more Iranian-made kamikaze drones with anti-aircraft missile units and fighter aircraft, Ukraine’s Air Forces reported. Ground forces destroyed at least two kamikaze drones.

Early on Oct. 17, Ukraine’s military reported it shot down 26 Iranian-made Shahed-136 kamikaze drones launched overnight.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1581936507262488577