last time, Malloy got about 12% of the Republicans. If my figures are correct.
if we adjust downward to that 12% ... that is a 1.25% swing fro Malloy (and to Foley), which cuts the 8% to 5.5%.
Which is 2.5% plus 3% for the Visconti factor.
I know other polls have had Foley ahead. If anything , I would expect Foley to capture some more democratic votes.