But they didn't figure on Trump.
Approximately half of that 40% are GOPe haters, what used to be called yellow dog Democrats (Before I'd vote for a Republican, I'd vote for a yellow dog").
Why they hate Republicans is complicated, but understandable. Ronald Reagan understood those people, and it is beginning to appear that Trump does, too.
If that 40% base bleeds 5% (never mind ten or fifteen), no Democrat can win a national election.
Because freaks of ANY gender should be able to share your child’s bathroom/shower.