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To: Red Steel

What part of “I am NOT saying Cruz is going to get to 1237 or that he is beating Trump or any nonsense like that” did you not understand? It is not a “silly game” to try to stop Trump from getting 1,237: it is the whole game. If Trump did get to 1,237, its over for Cruz. If he doesn’t, Cruz is still very much in contention. Can’t you just accept a simple, intellectually and mathematically honest analysis?

What do you think happens if Trump gets to the convention with 1,050 or 1,100 delegates and Cruz has 800+ delegates? You think its automatically going to Trump? I don’t see what special advantage he has once the balloting begins. On the contrary, there are a lot of indications that Cruz’s delegate groundwork gives him a strong advantage in that setting.


58 posted on 04/15/2016 3:43:58 PM PDT by JewishRighter
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To: JewishRighter
hasn’t been over for Cruz since mid-March. On the contrary, he cobbled together enough delegates to eat significantly into Trump’s lead and to significantly reduce Trump’s chances of making it to 1237.

Honest analysis? Cruz is not going to come anywhere near Trump in delegates. Cruz will still be mired in the 500s and ~400 delegates behind Trump by the end of the month. I've ran the numbers using computer spreadsheets Trump makes it to 1,237 fairly easy. The anti-Trump press and Cruzers assumptions about Trump falling short are was overly optimistic. Trump is going to win this thing on the first ballot.

What do you think happens if Trump gets to the convention with 1,050 or 1,100 delegates and Cruz has 800+ delegates?

Not going to happen. Trump will have around 950 delegates by April 26, and well over 1,237 by June 7th, and Cruz will still be mired in the 500s by the end of April.

67 posted on 04/15/2016 3:59:25 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: JewishRighter
What do you think happens if Trump gets to the convention with 1,050 or 1,100 delegates and Cruz has 800+ delegates?


Trump wins on the first ballot and Cruz does home.

82 posted on 04/15/2016 4:18:03 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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