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To: canuck_conservative

Trump doesn’t need to get 100% of the black vote, Dems are so dependent on minority votes right now, just peeling off 20-25% would kill the Democrats - and they know it

Didn’t Trump get less than 10% of their vote? Heck just a 5% inc would kill them.


35 posted on 06/09/2018 5:12:07 AM PDT by gbaker
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To: gbaker
Didn’t Trump get less than 10% of their vote? Heck just a 5% inc would kill them.

Okay, lets do the math. If blacks make up 13% of the voting population, a 5% increase would be only a 0.65 point increase (plus the corresponding decrease of 0.65 points to the democrats) would result in a total delta of 1.3 points. I don't think any blue states Trump lost would fall within that margin. Even House and Senate seats in those blue states would have been unaffected (okay, maybe there were a few - I didn't look up the actual results).

The 25% increase would add 3.25 points to the republicans, subtract 3.25 points from the democrats, for a net 6.5 point swing. Now, assuming across the board racial make-up by state) that would be an impact that would have swung the results of from Clinton to Trump in Colorado, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia and Maine.

Food for thought.

44 posted on 06/09/2018 6:42:28 AM PDT by Go Gordon (My dog's name is Grady Trump - because he loves tweets.)
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