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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It will be very divisive and disconcerting for the Democrats. While it is likely that Biden will weaken, its doubtful that any will pull away as the clear consensus candidate. Sanders, Harris, Warren and Biden will probably each poll 15-18% in the early caucus states and the New Hampshire primary. Some of the second tier candidates will remain through Super Tuesday. Very much doubt a clear winner or consensus will evolve early. The longer the uncertainty , the greater the bitter infighting and overt political mistakes. The eventual nominee will not be loved by all the vanquished or their supporters. If Trump plays it well , he should be in a very good position come November 2020.


11 posted on 08/04/2019 3:06:52 PM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: allendale

“Sanders, Harris, Warren and Biden will probably each poll 15-18% in the early caucus states and the New Hampshire primary.”

RCP poll average is showing Bidn at 24% in both Iowa and NH ...

IF Bidn can keep his shite together(and that’s rather a big IF), Bidn is still likely to be the clear front runner going into the early primaries, though not with a lead as big as his lead in the national polls ...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html


22 posted on 08/04/2019 4:02:35 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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