Replies

1) There is another big terrorist attack, the Soccer Moms get scared, and come home to the Republicans. Voter sentiment favors the Second Amendment, self-defense, and self-preservation. Bush supports sunsetting, Kerry supports extension, big win for Bush.

2) No further terrorist attacks. Further drip, drip, drip of causualties in Iraq and Afghanistan. Voters become complacent about security issues. Possible Columbine-esque school shooting further energizes the anti-defense, anti-security, anti-gun lobby. Teresa Heinz adopts the Assault Weapons Ban as her signature issue; Soccer Moms flock to her. Dubyah and Laura get nervous, betray the NASCAR Dads, and sign on for an Assault Weapons Ban extension. NASCAR Dads are demoralized, stay home. Soccer Moms elect John Kerry.

Option 3) Kerry is mortally wounded by many repeated document drops, all emenating from the Clark/Hillary Clinton quarter. The Democrat Convention is brokered, and Hillary takes the nomination. She easily wins the election because Bush has disaffected his base, and she selects Edwards as a Veep candidate, who can bring home at least 4 southern states.