Posted on 08/12/2004 12:15:26 AM PDT by goldstategop
Watch there be an huge earthquake in California right before the election!
They'll blame it on Bush, no doubt.
AOL members? There are people still using this crap called AOL?
Now, I'm as optimistic that Bush will win as the next person. However, this poll...is pretty much crap if you ask me. Every poll, from SurveyUSA to Gallup, has the race close. Now, these polls may not be the most accurate out there (especially if they over sample Democrats over Republicans), but still, they are CERTAINLY more accurate then any internet poll out there (polls that can be skewed by either Freepers or DUers). And one restricted to AOL members certainly doesn't add to the accuracy.
First, that map shows who voted for Arnold vs. Bustamonte. NOT for who voted for the recall. If you had that map, it would show a few more counties voting for the Recall. Including LA county.
Still, it is true that, without the Bay Area (and LA country), California would be a conservative state. But as you know, the Bay Area and LA county are BOTH the most populated areas of the state.
Now, it isn't impossible that Bush could win (until the Iraq problems and the 9-11 commission stuff, polls were showing them even), I won't be holding my breath on it. After all, the Dems and Indys that voted for the recall, doesn't mean they will vote for Bush (it was an election against Davis, not Democrats).
Scrap CNN, Zogby, etc. for polling data. Go to TradeSports.com These people have no political ax to grind, they are, not to be too polite about it, bookies. Their electoral math has Bush/Cheney ahead, but only by 13-16 electorals. Pennsylvania and Ohio are going to be hugely important. Florida, I think Bush gets this time, but this margin makes even New Mexico big. Watch where the busses go and the candidates spend money.
Tonight on FOx they said it will take a mircle for Bush to win.
Sorry miracle!!!!!!!1111
Things like this get us too complacent. I believe this as much as I believe Zogby.
This election will be CLOSE, and with the Democrat propensity to cheat and attempt to steal election by courts, allowing felons to vote, bribing the homeless and shutting out the military, we have to make sure Republican turnout is huge.
So not only do you need to vote, but bring your boys and talk to your co workers, neighbors and even the postman. Everyone must do their part on election day! We don't need to just win, we need to win by enough so that the Dim Rats can't try to steal it again. And this time, they even have the manufactured 'electroic screen' story and even European "observers" to try and give the election to Kerry through the courts.
Let your friends and family KNOW that we have to re-elect Big W. If you like your terrorists dead and your taxes low, you'll vote for GWB. If you don't, you won't.
They used to say that of Bush's father in 1988 when there was no FOX NEWS CHANNEL and the media was all liberal. Michael Dukakis led for awhile by double digit margins. Bush trounced him on Election Day by 12 percentage points.
Which ever way it goes, it will NOT be close. The winner will be elected in a walk. I don't buy the media's annointing Kerry the winner and AOL, which should have a preponderance of liberals, isn't even going for Kerry. Why won't the people in his own home state vote for him? That's the $64,000 one I'd like an answer to.
Every vote counts and it'll be almost as close as last time. There is nothing to be gained by deluding ourselves that W will win in a landslide. I think he will win but it'll be very close.
I respectfully disagree with you. A noted economist doesn't think it will be close and neither do most Americans. Kerry is quite simply a terrible candidate. That's not obvious now but it will be by Election Day. Stay tuned.
GOPers are simply more tech savvy. As a native New Yorker, I can tell you that there is not a chance in Hades that New York will vote for Bush. As state politics go, it is amazing that NY is able to even get RINOs like Pataki.
Okay.....who freeped this poll???
Don't you know that Rasmussen, Gallup, and CBS polls tell us we are a 50/50 nation.
Only "rich people" have computers and can vote in this poll and we know all rich people are Republicans!
(end/sarcasm)
Is it ALL GOP'ers? Then how do you explain him losing MA? Its a Democratic stronghold. In a worst case scenario, he should win it; heck even Mondull held onto Minnesota in 1984!
Considering the tilt of people on AOL, I'm surprised it did NOT show a Kerry romp. It turns out even Lefties don't like him that much. Those who are voting are voting AGAINST Bush NOT for Kerry. I have yet to see a liberal give us a POSITIVE REASON why they support their candidate.
If you trust this easily maniplated internet poll stuffed(if not Freeped) by our side, I have some beachfront property in Kansas for you to purchase.
If you believe all the voters in MA are Republicans, I'd love to sell you John Kerry's townhouse there.
As bad as Seattle is, Beacon Hill would be worse. Jean Kerre' can keep his townhouse.
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