[counterpunch]

I'm in California, and I'm voting for Bush. I also voted for our Republican governor.

The truth is California would be a solid Republican state if it wasn't for the SF Bay Area, which is very liberal, very activist, and turns out in extremely high percentages.

It really comes down to whether or not Republicans make an effort here and turn out the vote. It's an uphill battle here because the dominant media creates an atmosphere of persecution for anyone who isn't of the cosmopolitan liberal mindset.

The liberals here can't turn out their vote any more than it already is. In the recall, Orange County turned out as heavily as San Francisco. This is what will make the difference.



You may notice, Orange County turned out with 64% in the recall, actually beating San Francisco, the tiny little county showing 63% turn out. If OC and San Diego turn out in the same numbers or better this election, then Bush will win California.

[Simmy2.5]

First, that map shows who voted for Arnold vs. Bustamonte. NOT for who voted for the recall. If you had that map, it would show a few more counties voting for the Recall. Including LA county.

Still, it is true that, without the Bay Area (and LA country), California would be a conservative state. But as you know, the Bay Area and LA county are BOTH the most populated areas of the state.

Now, it isn't impossible that Bush could win (until the Iraq problems and the 9-11 commission stuff, polls were showing them even), I won't be holding my breath on it. After all, the Dems and Indys that voted for the recall, doesn't mean they will vote for Bush (it was an election against Davis, not Democrats).