i swear that this guy just does this without polling a person just randomly inserting numbers
all the other polls have Bush ahead by double digits
I'm pretty sure Rasmussen uses a statically weighted model. e.g., the D/R/I percentages are always fixed... see my earlier post... he would/could not have predicted 1994 or 1984 blowouts, and he would've most likely messed up with Perot in 1992 as well.
Republicans are generally less likely to answer the phones than Democrats on weekends. With this being a holiday weekend, I suspect that effect is amplified, making Rasmussen poll skewed towards Kerry. By mid-week, we'll probably see a shift back to Bush. If this were a Parliamentary system, I'd vote "no confidence" on Rasmussen polls.
i swear that this guy just does this without polling a person just randomly inserting numbers all the other polls have Bush ahead by double digits
He does get points, though, for using caps and punctuation where appropriate.