I'm not taking anything as gospel. I'm just looking for trends.
Rasmussen´s ¨likely voter¨definition is really stringent. As a result he polls only the hardcore, fervent base of each side and that means there isn´t going to be much change in either direction. He´s going to miss less likely voters who turn out. Call the campaign, volunteer to register some of them in GOP neighborhoods and make sure those less likely voters who actually do vote are GOP.