Still shows Bush with 53% favorability rating. But the tracking poll is too close for comfort. Perhaps there is something to the theory that many voters are on vacation this Labor Day Weekend so all the pollers are getting are shut-ins and kids.
Rasmussen is right and everyone else is wrong, or Rasmussen is wrong and everyone else is right.
Rasmussen's poll has not changed significantly for months. He has had Kerry with a slight, within-the-margin-of-error lead for some time. Now he has them even again.
He uses likely voters, so there's no telling his LV formula and how he derives it from his registered voters numbers.
Last election Rasmussen failed on election day, but there's good reason to believe that he was accurate right up to the time when the alcohol issue broke against Pres. Bush. Perhaps His automated polling simply wasn't able to pick up on nuances in those last few days before the voting and he ended up wrong.
My sense of the interviews I've seen him in is that he leans in a republican direction.
He might be attempting to keep the faithful from going overboard in enthusiasm. Better they think it's close and that they need to keep waging war.