You are right, if Kerry really had closed the gap, you would have seen hime perhpas pull ahead today because his sample yesterday was ridiculously favorable.
exactly, and also Rasmussen's model of static weighing makes it impossible to predict landslides.
A demoralized Democratic/Republican base does not turn out, and skews the %. Just look at 1994. Rasmussen's model would have predicted no change in 1994.
The truth is probably somewhere between the Time/Newsweek polls and the Rasmussen poll.
Would love to see SurveyUSA and Gallup results though. Anyone know when the Gallup poll will be released?