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Odds on the 2008 GOP nominee
bestbetting.com ^ | Paddy Power

Posted on 09/26/2004 1:54:16 PM PDT by JLS

Bill First 5/2 John McCain 7/2 Rudolph Guiliani 7/2 George Pataki 9/2 Chuck Hagel 6 Mitt Romney 6 Bill Owens 8 Tom Ridge 8 George Allen 12 Norm Coleman 12 Lindsey Graham 14 Sam Brownback 14 Arnold Schwarzenegger 66 Dick Cheney 66 Jeb Bush 66 Laura Bush 100


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; gopnominee; noneoftheabove
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To: Pan_Yan
Rice/ Guiliani or Guiliani/Rice

As with Asian cuisine, Rice goes with anything

181 posted on 09/26/2004 5:04:33 PM PDT by muir_redwoods
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To: JLS
Bill First - probably not
John McCain - possible
Rudolph Guiliani - very possible
George Pataki - no
Chuck Hagel - no
Mitt Romney - possible
Bill Owens - possible
Tom Ridge - no
George Allen - no
Norm Coleman - no
Lindsey Graham - no
Sam Brownback - no
Arnold Schwarzenegger - no
Dick Cheney - probably not
Jeb Bush - possible
Laura Bush - never

I think a winner has to have name recognition - a lot can happen in 4 yrs, but as of today I think Guiliani/Jeb would have the best chance of winning.

az

182 posted on 09/26/2004 5:04:57 PM PDT by Arizona (PMPB - Proud Member of the Pajama Brigade)
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To: Brandon

LJ and I were wondering if Tancredo would make a good VP. Maybe his "one issue" is just to get his name out there.


183 posted on 09/26/2004 5:05:59 PM PDT by toomanygrasshoppers ("Hold on to your hats.....it's going to be a bumpy night")
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To: Brandon

No Brandon, you are intentionally ignoring my main point.

In the end, Rudy's negatives outweigh his positives.

I doubt he will even run but if he does he will lose in the primary.

He is much more able and likely to beat Hillary for Senator in New York.


184 posted on 09/26/2004 5:08:58 PM PDT by Jacvin
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To: Jacvin
The GOP does not have the power to select the candidate for President. No party does.

Primary voters have their own minds, especially in the GOP.

Nuts. In 1999 the Republican governors got together and decided it was going to be GWB. Then they went out and made it happen.

Question #1: We've won the House, The Senate and the Presidency with the social Conservative coalition.

In Florida we control the Governorship, the house and the Senate.

Why would we intentionally wreck the winning est coalition since Roosevelt?

You shouldn't, of course -- but you must remember that the coalition consists of more than just social conservatives, and that the entire country does not mirror Florida. Social moderates and fiscal conservatives have made a lot of compromises in the last four years, and will make more in the next four if Bush is reelected. By 2008, it will be time to throw them a bone or two.

185 posted on 09/26/2004 5:09:54 PM PDT by Brandon
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To: WestVirginiaRebel

I've heard lots of good things about Pawlenty and Owens but the problem with modern primaries is that the guys with natiowide name recognition get such a big headstart for such a short race - Iowa, New Hampshire, a quick dip in the Southern primaries and it's over. Luckily for us, that media driven, hyped up system gave the Rats Kerry this year. Unfortunately it is likely to give us a McCain, or Giulliani. That's why I hope for Jeb. He is is the strongest November general candidate that can still wrap up the nomination by January.


186 posted on 09/26/2004 5:11:20 PM PDT by azcap
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To: Jacvin
In the end, Rudy's negatives outweigh his positives.

Obviously, we disagree on this point. IMHO, Giuliani's negative/positive ratio is no worse than GWB's was in 2000. You disagree about that. I guess we'll have to wait and see which of us is right.

187 posted on 09/26/2004 5:11:48 PM PDT by Brandon
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To: Luis Gonzalez
Giuliani/Rice is the only ticket that can handle Clinton/Obama in 08.

Hillary is overrated. She'll get the black vote, gay vote, and pro-abort women's vote, but will be crushed by conservative women and most men. She won't sell in the upper Midwest either.

188 posted on 09/26/2004 5:14:51 PM PDT by Dan from Michigan (A gun owner voting for John Kerry is like a chicken voting for Col. Saunders. (bye bye .30-30))
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To: JLS
You are wrong. Reelection after appointment is a very different animal than winning office in the first place.

"never won a statewide election" -- JLS

189 posted on 09/26/2004 5:16:36 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("The common man doesn't look at me as some rich witch." --Teresa Heinz Kerry)
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To: Brandon

You're right, the country does not mirror Florida.

The Red states are way MORE Conservative then Florida.

Florida is the most liberal red state in the South.

You may want to review the history of Ronald Reagan's primary run if you think the party can control the process on that grand a scale.The parties had way more power then and the GOP establishment firmly opposed the candidacy of Ronald Reagan.

I don't use my deeply held convictions to "throw a bone" to anyone.

As far as I'm concerned way too many bones have already been thrown to the mods.


190 posted on 09/26/2004 5:17:38 PM PDT by Jacvin
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To: JLS
Does everybody on this thread have dislexia?

His name is Bill Frist, not First!

191 posted on 09/26/2004 5:18:01 PM PDT by SlightOfTongue
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To: TitansAFC

I don't care who he is running against, even Hillary. I will NOT vote for John McCain. Not ever.

He has proven to be a totally undependable candidate. It would be like voting for a dartboard. He's never met a position he wouldn't change if it would get him love from the media.

I've held my nose and voted for a few RINOs but I will NEVER vote for McCain. I have to draw the line somewhere.


192 posted on 09/26/2004 5:18:07 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Let's REALLY Split The Country! (http://righteverytime3.blogspot.com))
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To: Jacvin
I like the GOP.

I like freedom, low taxes, strong military, aggressive foreign policy, low regulation. Could care less about pro life, prayer in schools, the flag, gay marriage, etc. symbolic issues that mean nothing except to its one issue adherents.

Pro life may be important to you, but the status quo will not change. Live with it.

Rudy Guiliani would show that the GOP understands that.

193 posted on 09/26/2004 5:21:48 PM PDT by motife
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To: Jacvin

You're not going to have a pro life Supreme Court so why don't you channel your energy into local action.


194 posted on 09/26/2004 5:23:01 PM PDT by motife
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To: Brandon

Well time will tell I guess.

The problem with any punditry is that the future is unpredictable.

Someone that is not even being discussed right now could be the President in 2008.

There is no way to know, therefore there is no way for either one of us to prevail in this discussion.

Decent chat though.

Bye, Bye.


195 posted on 09/26/2004 5:24:19 PM PDT by Jacvin
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To: MNJohnnie
I'm not anti-religious. I'm VERY religious. But I'm also tolerant of others views and non-views on the subject.

Freedom anyone?

196 posted on 09/26/2004 5:24:41 PM PDT by motife
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To: Dan from Michigan
Hillary is overrated.

I agree. Hillary is one of the weaker candidates the Dems could put forward.

I'd really hate to face Bill Richardson, hopefully we can end John Edwards' career here and now, and I'd rather have Hillary then even lesser lights like Russ Feingold, Tom Vilsack and Fast Eddie Rendell.

197 posted on 09/26/2004 5:24:47 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("The common man doesn't look at me as some rich witch." --Teresa Heinz Kerry)
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To: Tall_Texan
At least one-third of the republican voters are social conservative voters.....and we are issue loyalist not party loyalist...if a social lib is nominated by the republicans social Conservatives will not hold their noses and vote the party....we will walk.
198 posted on 09/26/2004 5:26:04 PM PDT by reflecting (I'm reading what all of you are saying)
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To: kms61

This Iowan won't support him.


199 posted on 09/26/2004 5:26:50 PM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: motife
I'm a Republican because I believe in FREEDOM."""

Me too. But that doesn't mean the freedom to steal from another, to harm another (except in self-defense); or to kill an unborn child.

200 posted on 09/26/2004 5:26:51 PM PDT by churchillbuff
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