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As much as McCain bugs many of us, he's probably the most conservative of the likely candidates (Guiliani, Pataki, Romney, etc.). Jeb Bush could be president someday, but if he ran in 2008 he's lose pretty soundly. It wound ring too much to the public as a dynasty.

I heard Bill Owens say he wouldn't run, essentially, on Bill Maher's show. He'd make a good candidate, but he says he won't run and I don't think he's a liar. Bill Frist is a nice guy, but has been a poor leader; he's been monumentally ineffective as a leader in the Senate, and is vehemently opposed to taking risks.

There aren't a lot of surprise Governors out there to choose from after Owens and Romney. We probably won't get any more scenarios like 2000 - GWB out of nowhere.

I guess I'd have to say McCain is still the front-runner for 2008. Frankly, between he and Guiliani, I'd actually have to take McCain. Guiliani is beyond liberal on key social issues; I can't imagine him winning a single southern or midwestern primary.

The good news is, with McCain at the top of the ticket, the office can be retained. The bad news is he'll be a bit of a leftwards shift on some issues. But he's still better than anything the dems would put forward.