"Could somebody post a plausible tie scenario."
Not very likely, but I guess its *plausible*.
Kerry Takes:
WA
OR
CA
MN
IA
WI
IL
FL
PA
Hawaii
and all of New England
Bush takes:
OH
NM
and all others.
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONGUIDE_GRAPHIC/index.html
Bush wins Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio.
Kerry wins Florida, Minnesota New Hampshire, and Pensylvania.
All other states fall as expected
Bush wins Nevada, Florida, New Mexico, and Wisconsin.
Kerry wins Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.
All other states fall as expected.
Both are well within the realm of possibility.