I can not say with any confidence that Bush will win.
Bad weather rarely affects and election - its just a myth.
I think Bush winds Florida, loses Ohio. Does not pick up enough Gore states to make up for Ohio loss. Unfortunetly.
Neal has been doing this for a long time. I believe his theory is that this will goad pro-Bush people into voting, but I think his constant negativity is not a good thing.
I like Neal's perspective on many things, but he's no fortune teller. Opinions are like A-holes, everyone has one, and it's only HIS opinion.
Boortz is an optimist.
I have a lot of trouble with all the negativity talk. The battleground polling is positive news, and the national polling is looking better as we get past the weekend. We are so close, and it won't take much to have a comfortable electoral college win. The only thing that depresses me is that so many Americans cannot see through Kerry and refuse to back a man who is driven by principles, not polls. Nevertheless, the goal line is in sight. Don't take your eyes off of it.
So . . . no whining. Vote, and take someone with you!
Neal is just slamming the Dems here. The points he makes aren't accurate.
As someone else posted, the whole weather thing is a myth. Also, the Republicans are now better in the GOTV game than the Dems. We learned our lesson in 2000 and had improved dramatically by 2002 with great results. Now in 2004, the Republican GOTV campaign is a massive fine tuned machine.
Keep in mind that Neal has written extensively that he believes a sizeable portion of the population is too stupid to vote. If that's your view (and it's not that much of a stretch), the Kerry win seems inevitable.
For the record, I think Neal's wrong on this. Bush 53-47.
Boortz has been calling it for Kerry for months... and frankly the mans makes about as good radio as hillary makes chocolate chip cookies.... Frankly, I think Boortz is a self absorbed idiot.
I am so glad he'll be off the radio here in Pittsburgh soon... his show is definately the worst syndicated one in town... and will be going the way of the dodo in this market soon.
Here's my take - Bush wins 'cuz:
1. Kerry doesn't have 'supporters', he has 'voters'. I think a significant %, when in the privacy of the voting booth, will say to themselves "My God! What am I doing? Am I going to sell out my country for a mess of potage and some promises?"
2. There is no way to reconcile the poll internals with what voters are telling pollsters about their candidate preference. How can Bush be at or above 50% JA, at or above 50% on national security, at our above 50% on the WOT and still be tied with Kerry? The polsters tell us that the two main issues for voters are national security and the WOT. Kerry has more negatives than he does positives while Bush has more positives than negatives.
I'm going with Bush, big time. My only fear in this election is that with all my needling and goading of Kerry voters, I still won't be able to get their money out of their pockets and into mine.
It's over, the Redskins lost!
I believe Bush will win. I believe it more firmly today than I did last week. Kerry has to pull off too many states to win this thing, and I just don't believe he can manage it. I believe too many voters will pull that lever for Bush, "warts and all," as George Will stated in his Washington Post column yesterday. There are things that I am not happy with Bush about, but no way does that sway me to entrust our security and economic future with a Euro-weenie lovin' Massachusetts liberal! I can't believe that the voters will be that stupid. Bush will win!
Neal who?
Think Reagan/Carter 1980.
Stop with the doom and gloom this is Bush in a landslide. The evangelicals will vote in droves driven to the polls by faith. Believe it. All early voters are mostly Democrats becasue they have been herded and Kerry is still not making much headway in ealy votes. You can only vote once and We will all be voting for George W. Bush Tomorrow so don't get discouraged. Get active.
Boortz was wrong in 2000 & '02.
He's going for three ia a row.
Rush has an air of defeatism about him today as well. He'll deny it, but it's obvious. All we can do is vote and try to convince others on our side to as well.