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Analysis: Zarqawi's insurgency
BBC News ^ | May 26, 2005 | Nick Childs

Posted on 05/28/2005 12:25:28 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Reports and rumours continue to circulate about the condition and whereabouts of the Jordanian-born insurgent leader in Iraq, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

It remains unclear whether he is seriously wounded, whether he is in Iraq or elsewhere, and whether he has been replaced at least temporarily as leader of his group.

But what is his significance and the potential impact of his fate on the insurgency?

The US military in Iraq makes no secret of the fact that Zarqawi is its number one target.

He is blamed for many of the most deadly attacks and is the only widely-recognised leader in the insurgency.

The Saudi authorities have announced successes against certain leaders, only for others to come forward Clearly, US commanders and the new Iraqi authorities believe that removing him from the scene would have a significant psychological and practical impact on the insurgency, at least temporarily.

To capture or kill such a figurehead would also be a considerable symbolic and morale boost to US forces and the Iraqi administration.

But no-one believes it would be a silver bullet that would finish off the resistance.

Sectarian fallout

US officials acknowledge that they and the Iraqi authorities will not defeat the insurgency by military means alone.

Night-time US raid in the Iraqi town of al-Barra hunding for Zarqawi supporters The US military claims to be cracking the insurgency It also requires a broader strategy involving politics and economics. And it will probably take years.

In that context, there is growing concern about the sectarian fallout of the violence, and a particular focus now on trying to damp down these tensions, and in particular engage the Sunni community in the political process.

On top of that, the experience of the Saudi authorities in dealing with militants in their country has been that they have announced successes against certain leaders, only for others to come forward.

In Iraq, the insurgency remains a complicated tapestry. As it has gone on, it has got more sophisticated.

The foreign fighters whom Abu Musab al-Zarqawi leads may be only a portion of the total.

But trends like the increase in suicide bombings in Baghdad may be evidence of growing collaboration between the foreign elements and local Iraqi insurgents.

Squeezing insurgents

US tactics have included continuing offensives against insurgent strongholds, to try to keep them off balance.

US troops during a patrol in Haditha Have US planners underestimated the strength of their opponents? The recent operations - codenamed Matador and New Market - in the west of the country, and the joint US-Iraqi mission in the western suburbs of Baghdad, dubbed Squeeze Play, are examples of that.

They have targeted and captured senior Zarqawi associates, they say, and believe they may even have got close to the man himself.

And yet the level of insurgent violence has gone up.

That may be, as the Americans contend, a sign of increasing desperation.

Or it may be further evidence that the insurgency is stronger and more sophisticated than US commanders and intelligence have calculated.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: bombings; guerillawarfare; insurgents; iraq; terrorists; zarqawi; zarqawisinsurgency

1 posted on 05/28/2005 12:25:28 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
It remains unclear whether he is seriously wounded, whether he is in Iraq or elsewhere, and whether he has been replaced at least temporarily as leader of his group.

That SOB better be dead!

2 posted on 05/28/2005 12:34:31 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
"...the Jordanian-born insurgent leader..."

Rather painful to see such a snake labeled as an insurgent.
My dictionary calls an insurgent, "one who revolts against civil authority."

The definition of terrorist, "one who uses terror as a means of coercion," is a much more accurate and appropriate description of what is happening.

The misuse of language by the press is very much a part of this"war on terrorism."
Especially offensive is the neutered, euphemistic way in which writers describe these savages and their actions.

These are the most brutal terrorists the world has known! They suicide attack destroying life, and proudly videotape their savage murders of innocent civilians only to be described in the press with terms suitable for students sent to the office for misbehaving.

Insurgents? insurgents my *ss!

These are stone cold terrorists who desperately want the power to dominate and enslave others.

3 posted on 05/28/2005 12:59:03 AM PDT by ThirstyMan
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To: MinorityRepublican
What up with this story anyway? There are literally dozens of spelling and punctuation errors in it, - not like the BBC.

Its almost like the night shift is working without supervision over there.
4 posted on 05/28/2005 12:59:58 AM PDT by konaice
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To: konaice
What up with this story anyway? There are literally dozens of spelling and punctuation errors in it, - not like the BBC.

The British and we spell many words differently--e.g. rumors.

5 posted on 05/28/2005 1:22:44 AM PDT by moog
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To: MinorityRepublican

Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is dead.

I know because I have read reports of it many times right here on FR.

The guy has "died" almost as many times as Arafat did.


6 posted on 05/28/2005 4:26:16 AM PDT by Graybeard58 (Remember and pray for Spec.4 Matt Maupin - MIA/POW- Iraq since 04/09/04)
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To: Graybeard58
Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is dead.

Link? I want it to be confirmed.

7 posted on 05/28/2005 6:52:13 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Read the rest of it:

The guy has "died" almost as many times as Arafat did.

And it's obviously sarcastic.

Arafat was reported to be dead many times and so has Zarqawi.

8 posted on 05/28/2005 6:54:50 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Remember and pray for Spec.4 Matt Maupin - MIA/POW- Iraq since 04/09/04)
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To: Graybeard58
And it's obviously sarcastic.

LOL, now I get it.

9 posted on 05/28/2005 7:05:58 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Graybeard58
The guy has "died" almost as many times as Arafat did. Must be a Muslim thing....
10 posted on 05/28/2005 7:15:22 PM PDT by ArmyTeach (Pray daily for our troops.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
But no-one believes it would be a silver bullet that would finish off the resistance.

Another 'Yes, but..' story. Shaping opinion worldwide with biased reporting.

Can anyone point to a source where someone has claimed that the elimination of any one terrorist would end the Iraq Campaign in the GWoT?
11 posted on 05/28/2005 9:10:52 PM PDT by TennCon
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To: MinorityRepublican

bttt


12 posted on 05/29/2005 12:46:55 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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