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Japan: Big Earthquake to Hit Tokyo in 6 Months (Asahi TV 2-hour primetime special)
Chosun Ilbo ^ | 07/05/05 | Sun Woo-jung

Posted on 07/04/2005 8:52:45 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

/begin my translation

Big Earthquake to Hit Tokyo in 6 Months

Japanese Asahi TV aired 'earthquake prediction' program
ominous signs: deep-sea creatures surface, and continual earthquakes
In the worst case, 10m-high tsunami could hit

Tokyo, correspondent Sun Woo-jung su@chosun.com
2005.07.05
 


Mega Earthquake Definitely Comes ! 

Uncovering X-day of Direct Hit on Kanto

At 7pm, July 2nd, Saturday, Asahi TV, a major commercial TV network, devoted 2 hours of prime time segment to air a shocking program. It was titled, 'Mega Earthquake Definitely Comes! Uncovering X-day of Direct Hit on Kanto'(photo.)  Kanto refers to the area around Tokyo Bay including the capital Tokyo with 12 million residents.  

Its conclusion is obvious. In the program, Uda Shinich, formerly at Earthquake Institute of Tokyo University, predicted, "Within a few months, or no more than 6 months at the most, there will be a great earthquake, which could inflict damages comparable to 'The Great Hanshin Earthquake,' which occurred on Jan. 17, 1995 in the area around Kobe City, the southern part of Hyogo Perfecture in Kansai, and which registered 7.2 in Richter scale, killing 5,249 people.


A warning comes out that Tokyo area is in danger of having a big earthquake pretty soon. The picture above shows the Hanshin Express Way completed destroyed by a big quake in 1995.

On top of that, Asahi TV showed 'the map of death,' marking the locations to be devastated by the mega quake. It included the entire 'Shitamachi' area, which is at the low sea level, and significant portion of 'Yamanote' area, which is at the higher sea level and considered relatively safe. 'Shimatachi' area encompasses 'shore downtown' where many upscale mansions were built since 90's.

What compelled a major TV network to broadcast this program is that unusual events, known as 'precursors of a great earthquake,' continue to occur. One of them is the appearance of deep-sea fish. Last January at Mie Perfecture, and April at Yokosuka Harbor, May at Sagami Bay, 'megamouth' sharks, deep-sea creatures, were found. There is a folk saying in Japan that the surfacing of deep-sea creature is a precursor to a big earthquake. Professor Imamura Humihiko at Tohoku University speculates, "Deep-sea creatures may have surfaced due to subtle (geological) disturbances at sea bottom."

Another disturbing sign is an earthquake at Sagami Bay on April 23rd, which was 3.4 in Richter scale. Sagami Bay is the 'epicenter' of the biggest earthquakes in Japanese history, the Great Kanto Earthquake in 1923, and the Great Kenroku Earthquake in 1703. Furthermore, the 'additional signs' include that temperature of seawater at Sagami Bay is on the steady rise, and there were continual earthquakes(5 times in 6 hours) around Tokyo area on June 1st, which was the first in recorded history.

As the worst-case scenario, if we assume that a great earthquake hits Kanto area with Sagami Bay as its epicenter, how devastating is the resulting tsunami? In 1703, when the Great Kenroku Earthquake occurred, it is estimated that the tsunami that hit Boso Peninsula at Eastern Tokyo was 10.5 meter high, and 2 meter high at the Tokyo Bay. In Tokyo, many lives on the area at the sea-level zero.

/end my translation


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 6months; allyourbasebelong2us; earthquake; epicenter; japan; kanto; kobe; mapofdeath; megamouth; precursor; predictions; sagamibay; seawatertemp; sign; tokyo; tsunami
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I suspect that this is more than commercial TV trying to boost its rating via sheer fear-mongering. It is too much at stake to be so careless, although I heard that this kind of program on mega earthquake is a reccurring theme in Japan for some time. Japanese have been saying for more than a decade that another big Kanto earthquake is due. It has been only a matter of 'when,' not 'if.' Their sense of crisis must have hightened recently after tsunamis and earthquakesin S.E. Asia, and even a volcanic eruption near Iwo Jima a few days ago.
1 posted on 07/04/2005 8:52:48 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; sushiman; Ronin; AmericanInTokyo; gaijin; struggle; DTogo; GATOR NAVY; Iris7; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 07/04/2005 8:53:14 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; All

Tiger I am from California like Japan both Japan and California has earthquake only time that Japan almost fell to the ocean when Godzilla went downtown in Tokyo


3 posted on 07/04/2005 9:03:29 PM PDT by SevenofNine (Not everybody in, it for truth, justice, and the American way,"=Det Lennie Briscoe)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

December 7, 2005?


4 posted on 07/04/2005 9:09:16 PM PDT by blam
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Indeed interesting. A sense of forboding, intimations of extinction, eh? Fear of the future may be because of age distribution,


5 posted on 07/04/2005 9:10:05 PM PDT by Iris7 ("War means fighting, and fighting means killing." - Bedford Forrest)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
I heard that this kind of program on mega earthquake is a reccurring theme in Japan

Yeah, part of their culture, I suppose. Still it is hard to believe they would have a show like that.

Can you imagine one of our networks producing something like that regarding, say, LA?

6 posted on 07/04/2005 9:11:08 PM PDT by Semper911 (Real estate is not real anymore.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster; maikeru; Dr. Marten; Eric in the Ozarks; Al Gator; snowsislander; sushiman; ...
Japanese word of the day: kudaranai - nonsense, foolish, silly

Aptly describes this type of sensational TV show. Kinda like the every-once-in-a-while special on the Tokugawa Shogunate's "lost" gold treasure or maizoukin that some believe is secretly hidden somewhere in Japan, and they still dig for it. Kudaranai.

Japan * ping * (kono risuto ni hairitai ka detai wo shirasete kudasai : let me know if you want on or off this list):

7 posted on 07/04/2005 9:14:30 PM PDT by DTogo (U.S. out of the U.N. & U.N out of the U.S.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

He's still angry about the nuke experiments. Godzilla will return, Tokyo is history.


8 posted on 07/04/2005 9:15:02 PM PDT by HereInTheHeartland
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To: Iris7
Fear of the future may be because of age distribution

Wow, excellent point, and the graphics to back it up!

Why do you suppose so few Japanese were born in the late 50's? (currently aged 45-49)

9 posted on 07/04/2005 9:16:13 PM PDT by Semper911 (Real estate is not real anymore.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
deep-sea creatures surface


10 posted on 07/04/2005 9:17:50 PM PDT by Dr.Deth
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To: DTogo
" Kinda like the every-once-in-a-while special on the Tokugawa Shogunate's "lost" gold treasure or maizoukin that some believe is secretly hidden somewhere in Japan, and they still dig for it. Kudaranai."


Reporting for duty!
11 posted on 07/04/2005 9:18:54 PM PDT by adam_az (It's the border, stupid!)
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To: Dr.Deth

The original Godzilla was much better than the recent one starring Matthew Broderick, that's for sure.


12 posted on 07/04/2005 9:19:41 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: TigerLikesRooster
On top of that, Asahi TV showed 'the map of death,' marking the locations to be devastated by the mega quake. It included the entire 'Shitamachi' area, which is at the low sea level

So after the quake, when it's below sea level, can we refer to it as the 'Deep Shitamachi' area?

13 posted on 07/04/2005 9:20:48 PM PDT by Dr.Deth
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Assuming Asahi TV is correct the question is what can done do about it? It's not as though Japan is large enough for millions of people to relocate to a less earthquake prone part of the country.


14 posted on 07/04/2005 9:22:27 PM PDT by Man50D
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To: Man50D
Re #14

They can bail out to Kansai for a while, away from Tokyo Bay.

15 posted on 07/04/2005 9:24:38 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: adam_az

Geraldo in nothing but his skivvies... that's way too close.


16 posted on 07/04/2005 9:31:35 PM PDT by DTogo (U.S. out of the U.N. & U.N out of the U.S.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

The most likely place for a large Japanese quake is the "Tokai Gap" which is a good ways south of Tokyo; not a repeat of the great Kanta quake.


The history of attempts at specific prediction like this is a history of failure.


17 posted on 07/04/2005 9:31:38 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: TigerLikesRooster
They can bail out to Kansai for a while, away from Tokyo Bay.

Are the Japanese authorities considering this plan?

18 posted on 07/04/2005 9:36:12 PM PDT by Man50D
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To: Strategerist
Re #17

Actually they were said to have named the next quake in Tokyo area as 'Tokai Earthquake.' We will see where the next quake erupts.

19 posted on 07/04/2005 9:40:37 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: Man50D
Re #18

I don't know what their exact plan is. However, they are said to have made extensive contingency plans for this.

20 posted on 07/04/2005 9:42:38 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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