Posted on 08/15/2005 10:54:34 AM PDT by F14 Pilot
Iran has now defied the E.U.-3 by resuming uranium processing at Isfahan. During the months of negotiations, Iran has put in place somewhere between 2,000 and 4,000 advanced centrifuges. Just as soon as Iran gets enough uranium hexafluoride produced at Isfahan, Natanz will be re-opened to begin processing the uranium hexafluoride to weapons-grade uranium.
What has the Bush administration done about it? As I predicted in "Atomic Iran," the E.U.-3 negotiations were bound to fail, simply because the mullahs were playing the Europeans for fools. They only stopped enriching uranium because they had technical problems at Isfahan and Natanz, so they wanted to buy time.
What will happen next? Iran will make an atomic bomb. They already have proved their Shahab-3 missile is solid-fuel ready. This reduces the launch time to virtually nothing, making the Shahab-3 harder to hit by the Patriot and Arrow anti-missile systems we and the Israelis have in place. A missile is most reliably downed immediately after launch. Hitting a missile when it is in the final stages of heading to earth is like hitting a bullet, with a bullet – almost impossible. The Shahab-3 will easily reach Tel Aviv.
I wrote in "Atomic Iran" that terrorists do not stockpile weapons, they use them. Once the mullahs have atomic bombs ready to go, we run the risk of waking up to an Atomic 9-11 surprise. On some sunny, beautiful morning we may find out the mullahs have atomic bombs only because we see a mushroom cloud over Tel Aviv or New York City.
I also wrote in "Atomic Iran" that the technical problems terrorist sleeper cells face in getting an improvised nuclear device are largely solved once a terrorist regime such as Iran can manufacture the bomb and ship it into the United States in containers. Our ports are still far from secure. Will we someday be reading the Atomic 9-11 Commission Report and pointing fingers that the Bush administration failed to gather the intelligence that prevented a nuclear explosion in one of our major cities?
The likelihood is that we will, unless the mullahs are stopped. This is not alarmist fear-mongering. Even if the mainstream media does not want you to hear it, terrorists have discussed and plotted nuclear attacks in an American city for years. It took years to perfect the techniques to hijack airplanes and fly them into the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. Terrorists are patient and Osama bin Laden believes history is on his side.
With the election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president, the hard-liners in Iran are in full control. Naming the former deputy intelligence minister, Mostafa Pourmohammadi, as interior minister is a clear sign that the brutal suppression of any internal dissent will be intensified in months to come. The hunger strike of Akbar Ganji has continued since June 11, with almost no international attention. Why isn't Akbar Ganji achieving the international fame of a Nelson Mandela, a Andrei Sakharov, or a Vaclav Havel? The answer is simple: The mullahs have over $200 million a day in oil windfall profits and they have bought the best talent money can buy worldwide – a legion of lawyers, public-relations consultants, lobbyists, and media consultants are on the mullah payroll, including many here in the United States.
The mullahs mean to press their radical Islamic revolution against the world and they are determined that nuclear weapons are the path to their world historic destiny of success. Who is going to stop them now? Was President Bush's Second Inaugural Address just meaningless rhetoric, or will he really stand with the Iranians who want a free Iran? Right now, the mullahs are winning. They are consolidating their power and moving toward nuclear weapons capability.
The opportunity for peaceful internal change – the best option, the one we should have pursued with prompt and meaningful funding to serious opposition groups – is slipping by fast. We can go to the Security Council, but that will be worthless. China and Russia will block any meaningful actions. Besides, with oil at $66 a barrel, nobody in the world is going to take more sanctions against Iran seriously. Unfortunately, we are now headed toward one of two undesirable outcomes – military confrontation, or the mullahs will soon have all the atomic weapons they want. There's not much else left. All this is proceeding along the track I predicted events would take when I wrote "Atomic Iran."
President Bush's legacy is on the line with Iran. His father did not remove Saddam Hussein when he had the chance in the first Gulf War. If President Bush does not stop the mullahs from having a nuclear weapon, the world will soon face nuclear blackmail and the blame will be laid on President Bush's doorstep. President Bush is allowing the mullahs to lie and cheat their way to nuclear weapons, on his watch.
Relying on the Europeans was a bad idea – the mullahs just gained time. Let's hope President Bush gets his resolve soon and decides not to make Iran somebody else's problem.
ATOMIC Iran PING!
But the vaunted "international community" told Bush and Rice to step out of the way, we can do it better!
Now the world sees their "negotiations" work, as well as they did with Saddam and Sons for 13 years straight.
There is always Hope. Even at the bottom of Pandora's box.
BOOM BOMB ~ Bump!
There's going to be a showdown. I'd bet on the cowboy.
On some sunny, beautiful morning we may find out the mullahs have atomic bombs only because we see a mushroom cloud over Tel Aviv or New York City.
Were either of those events to occur, then I am absolutely certain that by the time that sunny, beautiful morning was over, most or all of Iran's major cities would be smoking, radioactive slag heaps. Count on it, especially from Israel, which would be effectively destroyed as a country by the detonation of a single atomic device.
One day, American children will play "Cowboys and muzzies"..
I'm thinking Tel Aviv won't be around much longer unless the US stops Iran, and soon.
You're delusional. Multicultural, Politically correct Europe and the US would never do this. They, unlike the Mullahs have scruples and morals. They'd think of all the innocent lives before they thought about getting the Mullahs.
I'm not sure I would agree. Nuking a city would require an overwhelming response, designed to make the idea of doing something like that by anyone else be off the table. Anything else would be encouraging further use of nuclear weapons.
Unless then the paks took the opportunity to nuke the Indians, the Russians the Chechyans, the North Koreans, Japan, ashes, ashes, all fall down.
But when I consider that the British response to having 50 of their citizens killed and hundreds wounded then another attempt made 2 weeks later, I get pessimistic. Their first move was to force through Parliment a law that forbids bad-mouthing Islam.
President Bush might. But Chiraq is a lefty. Schroeder is a lefty. Blair is a lefty.
And our left's response will be, "Hey, we used nukes. Why can't other people?"
Hope you're right. Dunno though.
The Europeans probably wouldn't, I tend to agree (but maybe the Froggies would grow a pair if gay Pari were go up in smoke). Also, buried deep (VERY deep) the Brits actually have a working pair somewhere on their islands. As for the US, I have no doubt that the anti-US sentiment, doubts, etc. would disappear as the mushroom cloud was scattered downwind. That would be a wake-up call that would make Pearl Harbor look like a some little kid who cold-cocked his playmate.
Anyhow, I addressed the US and Israel, not the Euroweenies. I assume that you have few doubts about what the Israelis would do - I have none.
I saw a commentary shortly after the Yom Kippur War on WNEW in NY by Dr. Martin Abend. In it, he carefully detailed where Israel would likely strike in the event of another surprise attack - one that was about to succeed, as that one almost did. Featured prominently was the Aswan High Dam, and it was mentioned that all of Egyptian civilization would be swept away in a matter of a few hours by a wall of radioactive water. I have often wondered where Abend got his information...it could be that the Israelis gave him some so that Egypt and others would be not-so-gently warned not to attempt a repetition of 1973.
Thanks for the ping. I had been expecting to hear MORE from Dr. Corsi after the EU3 flopped like we all knew they would. Since most Americans are caught up in party mode and most of the world is snoozing, I sure hope that the President and Israel are listing.
Somehow, I don't think that will stop the mullahs in Iran. They will annihilate the state of Israel and hide in their bomb shelters thinking they will be the heroes of the Islamic world, what's left of it anyway.
The current Iranian regime cannot be allowed to acquire atomic weapons.
It's amazing how pessimistic most of the posters in this thread are. Way to appreciate the resolve of your country and allies, guys.
When I was a student at the Air War College in 1972, one of our speakers was the Israeli ambassador. During the question period after his talk, one of our class clowns asked the amabassador what were the Israeli release procedures for nuclear weapons, and whether the Aswan High Dam was near the top of the target list. Naturally the ambassador gave a noncommittal reply. That's what he's paid to do, and he was good at it.
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