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Michael Novak: A Fuller Picture - Beginning to understand what we are seeing in New Orleans
National Review Online ^ | September 07, 2005 | Michael Novak

Posted on 09/07/2005 10:54:30 AM PDT by NutCrackerBoy

There has been something askew in the reporting from New Orleans. It has bothered me for a week now. Finally, when I took a look at the 2000 census data on New Orleans, a lot became clearer.

According to the Census, the population of New Orleans in 2000 was 485,000 of whom 326,000 were black, 136,000 white, and the remaining ten thousand or so each, Asian or Hispanic.

If 75-80 percent of the population evacuated the city safely before the storm hit, as everybody is reporting, that means that far more than half the black population escaped safely before the storm slammed into the city. Even if all those who did not evacuate were black --- and that is manifestly not true --- 25 percent of the total population is only 121,000. Twenty percent is 96,000. By far the majority of blacks in New Orleans, who numbered as the storm began some 326,000, evacuated in advance.

Even they lost much, maybe everything, but at least they were not caught in the roiling water.

Secondly, I have heard ever since reading about Huey Long of the 1930s that Louisiana is one of the most corrupt and dependency-prone states in the Union. Of all the cities in the south, New Orleans seems the one most welfare-oriented, least entrepreneurial, most state-dependent, and least economically dynamic. More than any other southern city, it is "Old South" rather than "New South." That, of course, is part of its charm. It refuses the modern bustle, says "Slow down, Be easy." It lulls. Its charm seduces. And it is also the prototypical, old-time welfare-state city.

The Census report shows what that means in vivid detail. In 2000, there were only 25,000 two-parent families in New Orleans with children under 18. By contrast, there were more than 26,000 female householders with children under 18, and no husband present. In other words, slightly more mothers all alone with children than married-couple mothers.

In addition, there were more than 18,000 householders who were more than 65 years old and living alone. Of these, most would normally be female.

If you add together the 26,000 female householders with children under 18, no husband present, and the 18,000 householders more than 65 years old and living alone, that is an estimated 40,000 female-headed households. That explains the pictures we are seeing on television, which are overwhelming female, most often with young children. The chances of persons in this demographic being employed full-time, year round, and with a good income, are not high. The chances of them living in poverty, and without an automobile, are exceedingly high.

In the future, city planners should carefully count in advance the numbers of persons who fall in this demographic when they formulate evacuation plans. Female householders all by themselves with children or over 65 are statistically likely to be severely disadvantaged in thinking about options for the future, disadvantaged in not having the means to determine their own destiny, and disadvantaged with respect to the habits of mind that accustom them to taking charge of their own future. Special provision will need to be made for helping them. They are likely to be accustomed to being taken care of by the state.

The younger mothers among them have been abandoned by those they should have been able to count on, the males in their lives. The over-65s (in urban areas) are likely to be totally dependent on Social Security and other government benefits, without private pensions or homeownership of their own. In emergencies, such persons need someone else to take care of them. It is wrong to throw them, at this point, solely on their own resources. Some will be able to manage that, but by no means all.

Is this not what our eyes are showing us among those who failed to evacuate in time? To be sure, thousands of those taking refuge are men, and some are married couples, and some are white, Hispanic, or Asian. More research could show that my own hypotheses --- and even visual observations --- are wrong. But the Census data helps explain to me what my eyes are seeing.

Another question that bothers me: I would also really like to know what happened to the better-off blacks and whites of New Orleans, who escaped before the storm hit. How many have lost their homes? How many have loved ones still unaccounted for?

What are things now like in those lovely suburbs around New Orleans?

It is not only those who did not evacuate in time that seem to have suffered horribly. I would love to see more reporting about the middle class --- and sympathy for them, too. They are Katrina's victims, too.

Is it possible that many of them will not receive the insurance payments they are counting on, in order to get their lives started up again at a level not too far below where they were before the storm hit? Have they taken a permanent hit? How will many cope with that?

The poor may suffer worst of all, but they are not the only ones to taste bitter ashes in times of calamity, and to find their souls tested. Those of the middle class who worked hard (maybe even worked their way out of poverty), played by the rules, and set aside some resources for times of trouble, also deserve our help. Especially just at that exact moment when everything they made so many sacrifices to attain has been taken from them.

It was just then that Job was tried. So might we all be.

Michael Novak is the winner of the 1994 Templeton Prize for progress in religion and the George Frederick Jewett Scholar in Religion, Philosophy, and Public Policy at the American Enterprise Institute. Novak's own website is www.michaelnovak.net.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: alotofwater; blacks; census; flooding; h2o; katrina; michaelnovak; morewater; neworleans; stats; water; wet

1 posted on 09/07/2005 10:54:31 AM PDT by NutCrackerBoy
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To: NutCrackerBoy
The poor may suffer worst of all, but they are not the only ones to taste bitter ashes in times of calamity, and to find their souls tested. Those of the middle class who worked hard (maybe even worked their way out of poverty), played by the rules, and set aside some resources for times of trouble, also deserve our help. -Michael Novak

The demographics analyzed in this piece are eye-opening.

2 posted on 09/07/2005 11:01:27 AM PDT by NutCrackerBoy
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To: NutCrackerBoy
By contrast, there were more than 26,000 female householders with children under 18, and no husband present. In other words, slightly more mothers all alone with children than married-couple mothers. In addition, there were more than 18,000 householders who were more than 65 years old and living alone. Of these, most would normally be female.

That is the PERFECT voter base for the Jackass Party! TOTALLY dependent on whatever crumbs the rich Socialist Elitists let drop from the table. Pretty damn disgusting.
3 posted on 09/07/2005 11:01:34 AM PDT by highlymotivated (If American ever falls, a STINKING LIBERAL will be behind it.)
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To: NutCrackerBoy
The MSM neither needs, nor wants, any inconvenient facts.
4 posted on 09/07/2005 11:02:51 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Islam Factoid:After forcing young girls to watch his men execute their fathers, Muhammad raped them.)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: NutCrackerBoy

Bump to read at lunch.


6 posted on 09/07/2005 11:16:19 AM PDT by RightWingMama
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To: Motherbear
"Is there one competent democrat in all of Louisiana?"

I suggest you broaden the area of your search.

America will never be safe as long as a single Democrat holds elected public office. Informed, intelligent Democrat is an oxymoron.

7 posted on 09/07/2005 11:18:38 AM PDT by Reaganghost (Democrats are living proof that you can fool some of the people all of the time.)
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To: NutCrackerBoy
The demographics analyzed in this piece are eye-opening.

If New Orleans is rebuilt, hopefully the demographics will also receive a makeover.
8 posted on 09/07/2005 11:19:23 AM PDT by adorno
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To: Motherbear

I can't help but wonder, too, how many middle class people are going to end up getting screwed again when savvy developers begin taking advantage of the Supreme Court's latest "Eminent Domain" ruling and start grabbing up their property.


9 posted on 09/07/2005 11:19:38 AM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: highlymotivated
You know what they say, "A woman needs an man like a fish needs a bicycle."
10 posted on 09/07/2005 11:26:16 AM PDT by oyez
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To: Motherbear

There was a story on the news this morning that showed
a pleasant little suburban New Orleans neighborhood
covered with oil sludge.

They said the homes would be bulldozed, that they were
toxic now, no one can ever live there again. Imagine
the families that left in haste, leaving behind all
sorts of things dear to them, being told their homes
have been condemned, their neighborhood destroyed.

It was the most recently built levees that collapsed,
creating this disaster. Who got the contract for that
job, you have to wonder. There's a story for the
hard-hitting investigative media.


11 posted on 09/07/2005 11:29:53 AM PDT by Sabatier
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To: NutCrackerBoy
Fellow Freepers:

At the suggestion of writer Michelle Malkin last Friday, I have cobbled together a blogsite called Texas Clearinghouse for Katrina Aid to serve as a clearinghouse for refugee efforts in Texas.

Texas is getting more refugees than any other state -- that's fine, we'll take them all -- but we need help providing them with food, clothing, and shelter.

If you are a refugee, you can information that will help you find relief. If you want to donate or volunteer, you can find someone who needs you.

Right now the site mostly covers Houston and Dallas but I will add various churches, schools, and other charities in San Antonio and Ft. Worth tonight. My wife is down at Reunion Arena in Dallas as we speak handing out care packages and otherwise ministering to the refugees as a representative of her employer.

There are a lot of churches and other organizations in Texas that need help in dealing with the problem and I would be most appreciative if you would get the word out.

Many thanks,

Michael McCullough

Stingray blogsite

12 posted on 09/07/2005 11:32:02 AM PDT by DallasMike
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To: highlymotivated
That is the PERFECT voter base for the Jackass Party! TOTALLY dependent on whatever crumbs the rich Socialist Elitists let drop from the table. Pretty damn disgusting.

This brings up a question which I've been thinking about all week, but which I've been hesitant to ask for fear of giving the liberals more to complain about.

Niew Orleans is no more, at least for the time being. The evacuees have been transplanted to many other states and to other areas within Louisiana.

The question is, how does that affect the voting demagrophics in LA, and in the counties and states and cities to which those people have been moved to? If Louisiana loses a huge amount of its population, do they also lose representation in Washington? After all, a congressman or two won't have a constituency to represent. Do the other states that receive those evacuated get to draw new district lines since they now have more voters in their districts?

Who decided on where those evacuees would be sent? They have been distributed to many areas of the U.S. But, how does that affect the voting power of those evacuated. If a largely voting block of blacks is displaced and scattered to many other mostly non-black communities, then they lose whatever power they used to have when they voted for mostly democrats. Their voting power may have been diluted.

That could be a good thing or a bad thing, depending upon your point of view.
13 posted on 09/07/2005 11:41:07 AM PDT by adorno
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To: NutCrackerBoy
Joel K. Bourne, Jr.

Photographs by Robert Caputo and Tyrone Turner

The Louisiana bayou, hardest working marsh in America, is in big trouble—with dire consequences for residents, the nearby city of New Orleans, and seafood lovers everywhere.

It was a broiling August afternoon in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Big Easy, the City That Care Forgot. Those who ventured outside moved as if they were swimming in tupelo honey. Those inside paid silent homage to the man who invented air-conditioning as they watched TV "storm teams" warn of a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing surprising there: Hurricanes in August are as much a part of life in this town as hangovers on Ash Wednesday.

But the next day the storm gathered steam and drew a bead on the city. As the whirling maelstrom approached the coast, more than a million people evacuated to higher ground. Some 200,000 remained, however—the car-less, the homeless, the aged and infirm, and those die-hard New Orleanians who look for any excuse to throw a party.

The storm hit Breton Sound with the fury of a nuclear warhead, pushing a deadly storm surge into Lake Pontchartrain. The water crept to the top of the massive berm that holds back the lake and then spilled over. Nearly 80 percent of New Orleans lies below sea level—more than eight feet below in places—so the water poured in. A liquid brown wall washed over the brick ranch homes of Gentilly, over the clapboard houses of the Ninth Ward, over the white-columned porches of the Garden District, until it raced through the bars and strip joints on Bourbon Street like the pale rider of the Apocalypse. As it reached 25 feet (eight meters) over parts of the city, people climbed onto roofs to escape it.

Thousands drowned in the murky brew that was soon contaminated by sewage and industrial waste. Thousands more who survived the flood later perished from dehydration and disease as they waited to be rescued. It took two months to pump the city dry, and by then the Big Easy was buried under a blanket of putrid sediment, a million people were homeless, and 50,000 were dead. It was the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States.

When did this calamity happen? It hasn't—yet. But the doomsday scenario is not far-fetched. The Federal Emergency Management Agency lists a hurricane strike on New Orleans as one of the most dire threats to the nation, up there with a large earthquake in California or a terrorist attack on New York City. Even the Red Cross no longer opens hurricane shelters in the city, claiming the risk to its workers is too great.

Rest of the story and Pictures

The corrupt democrat machine in La. all knew what could happen and failed to protect their citizens..

They should all be going to jail for murder and maleficence in office

imo

14 posted on 09/07/2005 11:45:28 AM PDT by joesnuffy
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To: Motherbear

The fishing/shrimp/crab, etc. industry along the Mississippi River will also be on unemployment because the soup drain back into Lake Ponchetrain and on to the Mississippi River will kill off that industry.


15 posted on 09/07/2005 11:48:17 AM PDT by Kibbylou
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To: marblehead17

ping


16 posted on 09/07/2005 11:48:20 AM PDT by marblehead17 (I love it when a plan comes together.)
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