Creationists must fare the worst in Las Vegas because they don't know anything about odds.
They always bet on life as we know it evolving. They forget that we are just one of many options, and the bet should properly be about any kind of life evolving. I am always amazed at the hubris, to think that we are the one and only, the desired result that the odds must be created for.
It isn't just "creationists" who make these estimates. Physicists and cosmologists think that tiny changes in a number of fundamental physical constants (like the charge of the electron, etc.) would have resulted a universe in which life of any kind would be impossible.