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Market Forces vs. Traffic Jams
Technology Review ^ | August 29, 2006 | David Talbot

Posted on 09/08/2006 9:17:03 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

In a few places around the world--such as downtown London--drivers pay higher tolls for entering city centers at peak rush hour. The idea of "congestion pricing" is to reduce traffic and pollution by giving drivers an incentive to travel at off-peak times.

Now a professor at the University of Texas at Austin has shown how a complex extension of this idea could greatly speed up rush-hour traffic flow throughout an entire network of highways and secondary roads in a U.S. metropolitan region. Using a computer model of driver behavior on the freeway system around the cities of Dallas and Fort Worth in Texas, University of Texas civil engineer Kara Kockelman showed that imposing highway tolls wirelessly--and increasing those tolls sharply on heavily traveled roads during peak times--would induce enough people to change their plans to increase average travel speeds by 25 miles per hour during rush hours on many key stretches of highway. The computer model takes into account everything from the frequency of trips to the value that drivers place on saving time.

Under the scheme, cars would be monitored with radio-frequency identification (RFID) or global positioning system (GPS) technologies that would track where and when they are driven. Drivers would pay mileage-based and location-based tolls on a sliding scale: up to 20 cents per mile for driving through bottleneck stretches at the busiest times.

Kockelman says such simple market mechanisms can solve traffic problems without requiring the construction of new roadways. "Meeting travel needs is largely a function of sending appropriate pricing signals to travelers," she says. "We can allow them to make their own decisions, rather than having to expand capacity in our nation's already extensive roadway networks."

And it doesn't have to cost drivers much or hit low-income drivers hard. That's because drivers would get a fixed monthly toll "credit" and pay out of pocket only when they exceed the monthly allotment. She calls it "credit-based congestion pricing." The idea is that those who must use the highways frequently at peak times will pay the most, while others will pay little or nothing. The model results suggest that most of the region's population would benefit, because the value of their saved time would exceed the toll costs, she says.

The work is early-stage research. To be sure, wide adoption would require drivers to accept having their travel habits electronically tracked. But similar concerns accompanied the installation of RFID tags at today's tollbooths. Millions of drivers soon forgot about privacy worries when they began speeding past the coin-tossers at tollbooths. And privacy concerns could be addressed if third-party companies handled account information.

If Kockelman's model is right, the expanded adoption of such technology could provide substantial traffic relief for millions of drivers around U.S. metropolitan areas. "I think most residents of congested regions will feel it's worth a shot," Kockelman says. "Congestion is the number-one concern cited by residents of most urban regions in the U.S."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: bigbrother; congestionpricing; gps; mileagepricing; overzelousliberals; rfid; tolls; traffic; trafficjams; wot

1 posted on 09/08/2006 9:17:18 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks
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To: abner; Abundy; AGreatPer; alisasny; ALlRightAllTheTime; AlwaysFree; AnnaSASsyFR; Angelwood; ...

PING!


2 posted on 09/08/2006 9:18:10 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Going partly violently to the thing 24-7!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

It would be interesting to see the effects of a toll that was in place only during a portion of the normal rush hour to see if it would cause some people to shift their commute time ahead or behind in order to avoid the toll.


3 posted on 09/08/2006 9:21:37 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

I always thought we would be equal on the road but it seems the future for driving will belong to the rich if we aren't careful.

In San Diego we built a commuter lane which I thought was fine to help with traffic, then sometime later the government opened up the lane to drivers that could pay a special fee, that struck me as a terrible road to start down.


4 posted on 09/08/2006 9:31:09 PM PDT by ansel12 (Life is exquisite... of great beauty, keenly felt.)
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To: ansel12
that struck me as a terrible road to start down

So the pursuit of of market-based solutions is "a terrible road to start down?" Tell me, which other allocation strategy appeals to you? Do you prefer the "problem of the commons" in which everyone tries to use the resource, imposing costs (in time, stress, and new road construction) on everyone? Or perhaps you like the statist approach, in which the government would allocate usage - maybe even-numbered license plates on even numbered dates, and odd-numbered plates on odd numbered dates?

5 posted on 09/08/2006 9:47:07 PM PDT by LouD (hint: WWRD: What Would Reagan Do?)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
How about a link to our old favorite: TANSTAAFL: A (Semi-) Satirical Look at a World Without Transportation Subsidies?
6 posted on 09/08/2006 9:55:34 PM PDT by Publius
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To: LouD

After a hundred years of auto freedom, and road building, and taxes etc, I do not want driving to become a privilege only for the rich, no market forces or no amount of gas tax will bother the rich at all, in fact it only makes their driving more pleasurable by getting other people off the road.

I guarantee you the left is driving these ideas, putting GPS in our cars so that they can tax us by how far we drive doesn't affect Barbara Streisand, but it sure affects the rest of us.


7 posted on 09/08/2006 9:56:17 PM PDT by ansel12 (Life is exquisite... of great beauty, keenly felt.)
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To: P-40
It would be interesting to see the effects of a toll that was in place only during a portion of the normal rush hour to see if it would cause some people to shift their commute time ahead or behind in order to avoid the toll.

I think it would have an effect. Look at Orlando FL. The place is surrounded by mostly empty toll roads, yet traffic on I-4 is very, very heavy. People would rather sit in traffic for an hour just to save a buck on tolls.

8 posted on 09/08/2006 10:06:00 PM PDT by doc30 (Democrats are to morals what and Etch-A-Sketch is to Art.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

I'm so happy I no longer live in a major city. I don't miss spending 100 hours a year stuck in traffic just getting places.


9 posted on 09/08/2006 10:54:24 PM PDT by SmoothTalker
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To: LouD
A true market-based system would only require one to count the traffic miles on stretches of road. The gas tax generated by each stretch (roughly proportional to vehicle miles) would be allocated to expand lanes where demand is highest, thus increasing revenue until demand meets supply.

This would mean rural highways with low demand would receive less dollars.

Social engineers and politicians have artificially restricted the supply of highways for over thirty years because private vehicles are seen as evil, while government transportation is seen as good. The professor's harebrained scheme will only perpetuate this topsy-turvy system.

I can pretty much guarantee the government will use GPS tracking to control your behavior the way the IRS uses the tax code. Politically correct special interests will be favored with cheaper tariffs, while the middle class will bear the brunt of the system. It will be a social manipulator's erotic dream. It is the antithesis of market-based. It must be fought at very turn.
10 posted on 09/08/2006 10:55:08 PM PDT by BigBobber
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

To get the transponder, expect to get a very lengthy background check. This is because they see this transponder as an anti-terror tool.

Eventually, all cars will be required to carry one of these gizmos (if the liberal wackos get their way)


11 posted on 09/08/2006 11:46:22 PM PDT by Thunder90
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
This would either raise prices or kill the consulting business, such as IT Consultants. I drive probably 100-200 Miles a day just in DFW. Based on what I get paid by my employer I would be in the hole real fast under this purposed system. If you want to fix traffic problems, then you have to take away free will. People who drive to work when they don't have to other than that they can, are the ones who truly jam things up, they could car pool or take public transportation. Of course you would be taking peoples freedom away to drive their autos when they want to.
12 posted on 09/09/2006 12:10:23 AM PDT by neb52
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Tell this idiot to go away with this rediculas idea. Anyone that drives the freeways can see where the bottlenecks are and what is causing the problem.

The problem is, the engineers that design the roads can't see how their work slows traffic.

Has anyone not seen how to speed traffic and asked themselves, how could the be so stupid to design this road like they have?


13 posted on 09/09/2006 12:21:55 AM PDT by BJungNan
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To: BJungNan
Like one lane transfer lanes from one major highway to another! LOL!

For DFW the problem is just getting the older interior highways up to 8 lanes. Having 4 lanes going one way makes a huge difference. The other annoying factor is the emergency vehicles and construction crews taking up two lanes when it is not necessary. Once the I-30 expansion is done, the State and DFW needs to work on getting at least two three of the North-South highways up to 8 lanes. Also adding a North-South leg to the TRE would be nice and probably would increase ridership. Either that or make a I-20 link and the make two I-35 links to connect the I-30 and I-20 links, creating a box like structure.

Oh and on those 8 lane highways, having transfer lanes for on and off ramps work wonders as well. Not the random off and on ramp of 183.
14 posted on 09/09/2006 1:33:51 AM PDT by neb52
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To: LouD
So the pursuit of of market-based solutions is "a terrible road to start down?" Tell me, which other allocation strategy appeals to you? Do you prefer the "problem of the commons" in which everyone tries to use the resource, imposing costs (in time, stress, and new road construction) on everyone?

In many areas, there is a need for high capacity highway systems to evacuate people from hurricanes. How about weekend and holiday travel?

15 posted on 09/09/2006 3:42:51 AM PDT by EVO X
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Geeze, you really know how to tick me off. The left's solution to every problem is to take more money from the citizens. The idea that people have to work in centralized locations in a service type economy is just 19th Century thinking. The idea of building thpurple line or widening the beltway here in Montgomery County Maryland is plain stupid. Sooner or later corporations and individuals will figure out how to commute to work or schools electronically. A little imagination on how to measure results and a lot of problems will be resolved.


16 posted on 09/09/2006 5:18:38 AM PDT by Jimmy Valentine's brother (Crush Islamofacists; see them driven before you and hear the lamentation of their women.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

This is veiled taxation. If a person needs to get to downtown by 9am, they need to get downtown by 9am, no matter the toll. The only people that will decide not to go are people who have a choice in the matter, which is tourists and shoppers.


17 posted on 09/09/2006 5:38:17 AM PDT by Sensei Ern (Nothing says security like the smell of gunpowder.)
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To: BigBobber

All social engineers and politicians should be fitted with permanent shock collars.
All proposals would be voted on over the internet.
The intensity and frequency of the shock would determined by the total number of votes and differance.


18 posted on 09/09/2006 5:46:28 AM PDT by DUMBGRUNT (islam is a mutant meme)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Oh, I love the idea.

We all get to drive around with transponders in our cars, so that the "beautiful people" in government can guide us, or nudge us to "do the right thing" and keep the roads clear.

Who the hell is going to make these decisions? And furthermore, you can say goodbye to adding capacity on highways once this crap is in place. Why add capacity (since that is expensive), when you can get the same relief by simply doubling tolls. Great idea - air heads.

Out here in Texas, we're in the process of selling out control of our state and interstate highway system to private companies (i.e., giving these companies the right to contest any improvement on our state-owned highways). We can thank our governor for that - and it still may cost him the election.

I've got a great idea - how about we increase the gas tax and use the money to widen existing highways and build new ones? Then let people drive when they want, where they want, without "Big Brother" oh I'm sorry, I forgot the new lingo "Market Forces" telling us what to do and watching everywhere we drive.
19 posted on 09/09/2006 6:07:59 AM PDT by BobL
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To: doc30
The place is surrounded by mostly empty toll roads, yet traffic on I-4 is very, very heavy.

That is interesting. Do they have the tolls set pretty high? And do the tolls operate at all hours?
20 posted on 09/09/2006 10:38:13 AM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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