Posted on 11/07/2006 4:11:51 AM PST by NavVet
Every election, I seem to recall Sabato and Dick Morris being wrong at some point. Although Morris goes back and forth so much it's hard to tell. Is there any website that tracks the accuracy of pundit predictions. I'm particularly interested in a historical look at Sabato's so-called "crystal ball."
Morris goes from the left foot to the right foot then back again. He's posturing so he can say I said it all along no matter what hapopens.
LOL. Good toesucking pun.
We'll know their record tonight by midnight EST.
yep gotta keep a collar on that guy lol
Larry 'Sabotage' let slip his very personal dislike for Allen and has blown his cover as a non-partisan political observer/pundit - his current credibility rating is sub-zero in Virginia.
Sabato was jealous of Allen from their days in college together, and still is. Sabato is an operative of the DNC and is a putz!
Let's go ask President Kerry how accurate Sabato is.
Oh, no wait...
Sabato ruined his own career as some poll pundit with this Allen macaca fiasco in Virginia by making some glaring comment that revealed just which side of the political spectrum he's on. Demonstrating for those who didn't know to begin with.
When in business school, a professor in a business fluctuations course informed us that if one must forecast then forecast frequently.
I don't like Sabato, but after the last election he tore Zogby a new one after its miserable performance, and its claiming widespread fraud. As Sabato noted, Zogby was wrong in 2000, 2002 and wrong in 2004 when he called for a Kerry victory with 311 electoral votes. Sabato was also wrong in 2002 and 2004 but at least admitted it.
I don't like Sabato either. But I do remember that day when he tore Zogby a new one. In fact, I believe it was over Zogby's election day prediction of suppressing voter turnout, predicting huge Democrat victories nationwide, which we all know later, never came to fruition. That was back in 2000 I believe. I remember the media was all pumped and primed for the rest of the day and by midnight that night, it was like the collective air was let out of their tires.
Someone posted last night that Sabato was correct on all but two Senate races in a recent year. That sounds impressive but keep in mind that a lot of races are often no-brainers; for example today we have only seven Senate races that are tough to call. A lot of people here will call at least five of those seven correct.
I will never forget Sabato's partisan behavior of this election season. It's just unbelievable to me that an academic could behave that way on national television.
Exactly! He has ZERO credibility.
I'd put my record against Sabato's any day of the week, and I don't have his budget or staff.
And so what are you predicting for today?
Max loss in the House is 10. More likely, 3. It is possible, if everything turns right, that we GAIN a single seat in the House.
I hope you're right. We'll have a better idea how much trouble we're in with God, tomorrow. (I say that only partly humorously; we've been running on sheer grace for many years.)
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