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Greenspan says expects more dollar weakness
Reuters (via Yahoo) ^ | December 11, 2006

Posted on 12/11/2006 7:10:05 PM PST by GodGunsGuts

Greenspan says expects more dollar weakness

December 11, 2006

Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Monday he expected the dollar to stay weak for the next few years and will continue to drift down, weighed by the U.S. balance of payments deficit.

"I expect that the dollar will continue to drift downwards until there will be a change in the U.S. balance of payments," Greenspan told a business conference here via video-link from the United States.

"There has been some evidence that OPEC nations are beginning to switch their reserves out of dollars and into euro and yen," Greenspan said.

"It is imprudent to hold everything in one currency," he said, adding that at some point the dollar will be moving lower.

"That will be the experience of the next few years," Greenspan said.

Greenspan said markets were so sophisticated it was very difficult to forecast the short term direction of the dollar.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: depreciation; dollar; greenspan; trade
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1 posted on 12/11/2006 7:10:08 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

I wonder what the CURRENT U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman says.


2 posted on 12/11/2006 7:14:22 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (I hope nobody "offends" me today. I would hate to have to kill them. Amen.)
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To: ex-Texan; Pelham; RobRoy; winodog; simon says what; Toddsterpatriot; headsonpikes; expat_panama; ...

Got gold/commodity-based currencies???


3 posted on 12/11/2006 7:14:36 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

Greenspan needs to do "the Formula"
STFU & STTFD.
I have had enough of Andrea Mitchell's husband and I am not "exuberant"!!!


4 posted on 12/11/2006 7:18:54 PM PST by acapesket (never had a vote count in all my years here)
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To: GodGunsGuts
Got gold/commodity-based currencies???

If you own gold/silver/platinum/etc. and the dollar goes down, they will usually increase in value unless there are other significant market forces at work.
5 posted on 12/11/2006 7:20:23 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: acapesket

LOL! You forgot to mention that he is partly responsible for the mess were are in.


6 posted on 12/11/2006 7:20:29 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
Got gold/commodity-based currencies???

No. They don't work.

7 posted on 12/11/2006 7:34:41 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (If you agree with EPI, you're not a conservative!)
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To: kinoxi
I'll say! But gold will (and is) decoupling from the USD and explode to the upside before this is all over IMO:


8 posted on 12/11/2006 7:43:12 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: Toddsterpatriot

I meant commodity-based currencies such as the Cando (Canadian dollar).


9 posted on 12/11/2006 7:44:34 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
I meant commodity-based currencies such as the Cando (Canadian dollar).

The Canadian dollar is not "commodity-based".

10 posted on 12/11/2006 7:46:58 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (If you agree with EPI, you're not a conservative!)
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To: GodGunsGuts

I have no idea where you got that chart but I wouldn't use it personally.


11 posted on 12/11/2006 7:48:15 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: Toddsterpatriot

In the sense that they are a commodity-based economy (oil, precious metals, etc)


12 posted on 12/11/2006 7:54:27 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: kinoxi

I got it from here:

http://www.zealllc.com/2006/goldusd.htm


13 posted on 12/11/2006 7:54:49 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
In the sense that they are a commodity-based economy

Glad you finally realize they don't have a commodity based currency.

14 posted on 12/11/2006 7:57:45 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (If you agree with EPI, you're not a conservative!)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

I din't say it was based on a commodity standard. They have a commodity-based economy. The strength of the Cando is based on their economy. It is therefore a commodity-based currency. If you can think of a better way to put it, be my guest.


15 posted on 12/11/2006 8:05:28 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
I din't say it was based on a commodity standard.

No, you said:

Got gold/commodity-based currencies???

Commodity based means convertible into the commodity.

If you can think of a better way to put it, be my guest.

Why don't you say, "Buy currencies of commodity exporting countries"? That is what you meant without being imprecise. It would be nice if you occasionally said something that I didn't have to translate from goldbug into English.

16 posted on 12/11/2006 8:15:36 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (If you agree with EPI, you're not a conservative!)
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To: GodGunsGuts

currencies are no longer a measure of the strength of the underlying economy - they are a measure of the stability of that zone's trading deficits. the euro isn't "strong", its stable because the euro-zone has a stable current account deficit. the dollar is "weak" for the opposite reason. and OPEC isn't going to sit around collecting dollars that they must convert into euros (at a declining rate) to import the goods and services they buy from the euro-zone, they'll need more dollars (our oil prices will rise), or they will sell oil directly in euros.


17 posted on 12/11/2006 8:21:10 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Everbody who is thinking clearly understands what I am telling them. For the rest, why bother? After all, you have already agreed to translate my words into your native tongue--Pollyanish. And for free, no less!


18 posted on 12/11/2006 8:23:10 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

AG should re-think his tendency to make public pronouncements. He is retired and should be retiring out of deference to others who must do the job day in and day out.

He was a quarter back. He is no longer. He demeans himelf and his previous high office by being a Sunday quarterback.


19 posted on 12/11/2006 8:23:33 PM PST by shrinkermd
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To: oceanview

Precisely. Very well put. That would of course be a disaster for the USD.


20 posted on 12/11/2006 8:24:22 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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