Posted on 12/26/2006 7:20:03 AM PST by Chi-townChief
There is strong evidence that November's Democratic sweep may be more than a one-shot reaction to an unpopular president and his war--it might be one of those pivotal elections leading to a lasting, long-term majority in the Congress and potentially the presidency.
Democrats took control of Congress, making history by taking 30 House and six Senate seats without losing a single incumbent or open race. This was especially impressive against a House so gerrymandered that 95 percent of incumbents tend to keep their seats. In all, nearly 58 percent of the total national congressional vote went to the Democrats, as did more than 55 percent of the Senate vote (if you include votes cast for two independents who caucus with the Democrats).
Further, another dozen House seats that stayed Republican were decided by extremely narrow margins--many under 1,000 votes. In 2008 those seats will again be vulnerable, especially in the larger turnout expected in a presidential year, although a few of this year's upsets could revert back.
Yes, voters reacted against the war and corruption, but also the two-tiered economy, with its increasing income inequality. Many of the incoming senators and House members ran and won on populist economic issues, which have long been a unifying Democratic theme--downplaying some of the more divisive social issues.
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Of course the new Democratic Congress will have to accomplish a few things to solidify the situation. It will have to deliver on ethics, the minimum wage, reforming the Medicare prescription legislation, eliminating obstacles to labor union organizing--and maybe even make a bid toward shortening the war, if Democrats can really get their act together.
If they deliver, history may yet see 2006 as tidal an election as was 1932.
(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...
Thanks again stay at home cut and run conservatives, you sure made your point. Now what?
RATS true colors will be showing for one and all by January 2. IMO, don't count on them staying in power after the country goes in the toilet bowl and we're perceived as cowards all over the world.
Within three months of the new congress taking control the country will wake up and say "Who elected these a$$holes?"
That's an optimistic outlook assuming the RINOS' become Conservatives by then. If not, the Dims will control Congress for another 40 straight years.
I think a lot of people will know Obama is not what he's cracked up to be by then.
"If not, the Dims will control Congress for another 40 straight years."
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If a shamnesty bill is passed and signed, IMO, that is our future.
If they deliver, history may yet see 2006 as tidal an election as was 1932.
This guy is freaking nutz
Ah the sheeple strike again - we have such short-term memory.
Bad news...
We deserve it! The Republicans have totally blown it! Just unbelievable.
Good news...
The Democrats will not get their act together.
Hopefully it will send the message to everyone - if you are corrupt get out of our government (I know it is a pipedream!)
Actually, this is probably a valid scenario given the Republicans inability to take advantage of every opportunity given them.
Even if the Dems screw up totally, 2008 will hinge on who the RINOs who run the party now put up for president. If they do a 1996 and put the next good ole boy in line because "it's his turn", they will go down to stunning defeat, taking even more senators and representatives with them.
In 1996, only two years after Newt and company swept the Congress, a highly vulnerable Clinton was given a sure loser as an opponent, Bob Dole. It looks like they are going to do it again with McCain. If you think the conservative base stayed home this time (actually, they didn't - polls show it was the Reagan Democrats and independents who voted Dem in '06) wait till Johnny McCain is the candidate - the man who tried to kill the Patriot Act, stifle judges with the gang of 14, and wrote the amnesty for all legislation with fat Teddy.
Sad but true.
The Lib's know this and use it as a tool politically.
This guy does not sound full of it to me. He makes some valid points. However, things change and events change things. A swing back to the right in the 2012-2016 period is distinctly possible.
But I am very pessimistic about the future. I am praying for the best but preparing for the worst.
Interestingly, if the OKC bombing hadn't provided Ol' Slick with his own little Reichstag Fire, Dole would have kicked his ass all the way back to Arkansas in '96.
I can't imagine another 60-year house rat majority like this guy thinks.
A reasonably good analysis. A lot can happen between now and then but the numbers don't look too good for retaking the Senate in '08. The WH has got to be rated a tossup at this point, but it may come down to a contest of star power, given how vapid the reasoning ability of the electorate seems to be. In that case, Hussein Obama and Hillary! have it, McCain doesn't, and Rudy might. The GOP might seriously consider focusing on the House and making a serious attempt at holding the vulnerable seats in the Senate. The bench looks pretty thin for holding the Presidency. McCain and Rudy are going to be spending a lot of time trying to keep the base together, much less making inroads into the Indie and Reagan Democrat vote.
While some of the Republican victories WERE by very slim majorities, the same could be said of some of those of the Democrats. If the disgruntled conservatives had not stayed home or voted for the Libertarian candidate, the story of Election 2006 would have been vastly different.
The problem was that the rats just needed to get it close enough to steal as in Virginia, Montana, and Missouri.
Hard to say. You can't count on abominable misbehavior by the new CongressRats to disillusion the voters. After all, the American people voted for clinton twice, when it was more than obvious what he was.
Let's just hope that the Republicans pull themselves together and give their base some good, strong candidates and planks to vote for. It's not enough to hope that people will vote for you just because they hate the other guy more.
bump with no comment
There is reason to argue both political parties are moving in that direction, but I think the Republican party can be turned around from the inside. The Democrats are too far gone.
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