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Putin lays foundation for succession as he promotes former KGB defence minister
Belfast Telegraph ^ | February 17th, 2007 | Andrew Osborn

Posted on 02/17/2007 4:18:09 PM PST by M. Espinola

Russian President Vladimir Putin has carried out a radical government reshuffle a year before he is due to step down in a surprise move aimed at safeguarding his political legacy.

Judging by Mr Putin's appointments, post-Putin Russia will look very much like it does today and be run by a man with a similar background and worldview. The reshuffle, that took Russia's political élite by surprise, promoted Sergei Ivanov, the Defence Minister, a man whose CV looks remarkably similar to Mr Putin's, to the influential position of First Deputy Prime Minister.

Mr Ivanov, a former KGB spy, is well travelled and an able linguist, and, like his mentor, a strong proponent of a confident, resurgent Russia. As Defence Minister he oversaw a huge increase in military spending and made a name for himself by criticising Nato's eastwards expansion. More recently, he bitterly opposed American plans to build parts of its missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic. Like Mr Putin, his CV contains "grey areas" and it is unclear in which countries he served when working for the KGB.

Mr Ivanov's elevation was universally interpreted in the way that Mr Putin obviously intended: as the unofficial start of Russia's presidential election campaign. The world's largest country faces parliamentary elections in December and a presidential ballot next March.

The question on everyone's lips is who will be the next Mr Putin? The Russian leader enjoys popular support of around 80 per cent and is such a strong figure that many Russians find it hard to imagine anyone else in the Kremlin.

The reshuffle that pushed Mr Ivanov, 54, into the limelight was widely seen as a stage-managed move designed to give Russians a chance to get used to Mr Putin's possible successors and digest the idea that he is really stepping down. Under the Russian constitution, Mr Putin, who has been in power since 1999, is not allowed to serve a third consecutive term. Loyalists have practically begged him to change the constitution to allow him to do just that but he has been adamant that this is not something he is prepared to do.

However, he has made it clear that whoever succeeds him will, in effect, be a chip off the old block and will be charged with safeguarding the internal stability and economic success that he has engendered.

"It looks like Putin is putting in action his own solution to the 2008 [election] problem," wrote the pro-government daily newspaper Izvestia. "He has said there will be no single hand-picked successor and that Russians will have to choose between several equal candidates."

Mr Ivanov's promotion put him on par with the only other publicly identified contender for the presidency, First Deputy Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev. Mr Medvedev, 41, is often described as "Putin-lite" representing more of the same but in a softer, more liberal package compared to Mr Ivanov's more nationalist hawkish rhetoric. He does not have the same silovik (security services) background as Mr Ivanov and he has said that he sees Russia as being part of the European community sharing its democratic values.

Izvestia argued that the reshuffle set the stage for the two men to battle it out for the Kremlin over the next year from positions of equal strength. Both come from Mr Putin's native city of St Petersburg, have worked closely with him before he became president, and are part of the ruling élite.

Another key part of Mr Putin's political legacy is likely to be Chechnya and the reshuffle also appeared to be an attempt to protect his own controversial vision of the war-torn republic.

In a move that alarmed human rights activists, he promoted Ramzan Kadyrov, the Russian-backed prime minsiter of Chechnya, to become the republic's acting president. A former rebel who fought against the Russians, forces loyal to Mr Kadyrov are accused of kidnapping, torturing and murdering anyone who gets in his way. Human rights group said Mr Putin would live to regret his choice.

"By raising the profile and power of Kadyrov the long view of Chechnya is pretty bleak," said Allison Gill, head of Human Rights Watch's Moscow office.


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; Government; Russia
KEYWORDS: dictatorship; kgb; neostalinism; putin
Some things never change.


1 posted on 02/17/2007 4:18:12 PM PST by M. Espinola
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To: M. Espinola
Russian President Vladimir Putin has carried out a radical government reshuffle a year before he is due to step down in a surprise move aimed at safeguarding his political legacy.

Putin's political legacy: autocratic murderer. He wouldn't want that legacy to be besmirched in any way...

2 posted on 02/17/2007 4:24:07 PM PST by snarks_when_bored
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To: M. Espinola

3 posted on 02/17/2007 5:16:47 PM PST by UnklGene
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To: M. Espinola
Does anyone on FreeRepublic believe that the Russian people are not getting what they deserve in the way of government? After all, they continue to vote in those who repress them, deny them real choices at the ballot box, destroy what little federation of government they had (the Kremlin now has ultimate authority over everything), regulates what they can hear and see on radio and TV, and even goes to the trouble of killing off those dissidents that get too much publicity.

The Russian people just can't shake off their history of desiring a "strong man" who tells them what to do and when and how to do it. They appear to me to be a nation of masochists.

4 posted on 02/17/2007 6:40:27 PM PST by OldPossum
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To: UnklGene

Nikita the 2nd! Great cartoon!


5 posted on 02/17/2007 10:11:25 PM PST by M. Espinola (Freedom is Never Free)
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To: OldPossum
A puny, but very vocal collection 'Putin Promoters Club' (some recently banned) which lurks on FR waiting to swiftly counter with blatant lies, obvious Stalinist style propaganda and double doses of planted deceitful disinformation on all threads exposing KGB Putin's true treacherous agenda for eventual world conquest. These Moscow mouthpieces are the first to grandstand domestic Russian polls indicating their anti-American ruler has very favourable ratings.

The bellicose, militaristic, aggressiveness of the Russian mindset appears not to have learned anything from the Czar's to Communist butchers invading sovereign nations and is not restricted to Putin's neo-Soviet Kremlin comrades, but evidently a majority of the Russian public.

If dictator Putin decided to invade the free Baltic states and take grab chunks of Poland, the Russian public would support Putin's Stalinistic invasions and rounding up the usual anti-Russian suspects.

Our government leaders must wake up and confront the bold Russian threats before it's too late.

6 posted on 02/17/2007 11:57:26 PM PST by M. Espinola (Freedom is Never Free)
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To: snarks_when_bored
"Putin's political legacy: autocratic murderer. He wouldn't want that legacy to be besmirched in any way..."

On the current sinister road Putin is racing down his brutal blood soaked legacy is fully guaranteed.

Russia's Putin supporting population will have to 'live' with the coming catastrophic results caused by their neo-Soviet tyrant's power mad international policies of energy blackmail, while provoking war with America through the Kremlin's proxies of Iran and Syria.

7 posted on 02/18/2007 12:41:43 AM PST by M. Espinola (Freedom is Never Free)
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