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Democrats predict sizable budget surplus (in five years but only if Bush tax cuts expire in 2010)
AP on Yahoo ^ | 3/28/07 | Andrew Taylor - ap

Posted on 03/28/2007 6:57:24 PM PDT by NormsRevenge

WASHINGTON - House Democrats pressed ahead Wednesday with a budget plan predicting a sizable surplus in five years, but only if President Bush's tax cuts expire in 2010 as scheduled.

The majority Democrats' $2.9 trillion budget outline for next year would produce a $153 billion surplus in 2012 while raising spending for veterans, education, defense and national security.

Democrats say the plan would finally mean a surplus after years of red ink under Bush and a GOP-controlled Congress.

Republicans said allowing tax cuts passed in 2001 and 2003 to expire in 2010 would amount to the "largest tax increase in American history."

The future of the Bush tax cuts will likely be decided after the 2008 presidential election. While in the majority, congressional Republicans never held votes to make all of them permanent, despite Bush's annual calls to do so.

Under Congress' budget process, the annual budget resolution is a nonbinding outline that guides future legislation. It allows the two parties to show voters their competing fiscal visions, often without having to take the politically difficult votes to implement them.

The Democratic budget blueprint calls for a nearly $25 billion increase next year for domestic programs popular with lawmakers in both parties, approving Bush's record budget increase for the Pentagon's non-war budget and $145 billion for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan next year.

Those spending boosts would cause the deficit to rise from $209 billion this year to $241 billion in 2009 before increased revenues from the expiration of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts rapidly generate a surplus.

Republicans credit those tax cuts — on income, investments, estates, married couples and families with children, among other things — with reviving the economy from a recession early in Bush's first term.

Extending those tax cuts would cost about $250 billion in 2012 alone. Democrats acknowledge many of the provisions — especially those aimed at middle-income taxpayers — will be renewed.

"That decision will be taken when we reach it. When we have to cross that bridge, we'll cross that bridge," said House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt (news, bio, voting record) Jr., D-S.C. "We hope we'll have a surplus by that point in time."

For now, the budget plan would require lawmakers seeking to cut taxes or boost benefit programs — such as Medicare, children's health care or farm subsidies — to "pay for" the changes with tax increases or offsetting spending cuts.

That rule would greatly complicate efforts later this year to boost funding for a popular health insurance program for poor children.

Democrats opted to put off politically painful decisions on shoring up the finances of Medicare and Social Security.

Republicans countered with an alternative plan cutting $279 billion from federal benefit programs such as Medicare and Medicaid over the next five years — far greater cuts than proposed by Bush in February.

The plan, authored by Paul Ryan (news, bio, voting record) of Wisconsin, top Republican on the budget panel, would fully extend the 2001 and 2003 rounds of tax cuts, at a cost of about $450 billion. But Ryan's plan is certain to lose by a big margin Thursday.

The Democratic measure is largely a response to complaints that Bush has shortchanged programs funded each year by appropriations bills — including education, health research and grants to local governments — while offering big increases to the Pentagon and providing tax cuts tilted toward affluent, GOP-leaning constituencies.

But the Democratic budget also suffers from key flaws Democrats such as Spratt have seen in Bush's budgets.

Both plans fail to account for the long-term costs of overhauling the alternative minimum tax so it does not raises taxes on more than 20 million middle-class taxpayers.

And the Democratic plan mirrors Bush's request for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which assumes no funding after 2009.

"It is simply immoral for this government to continue to mortgage our children's futures through policies that lead only to growing deficits and deeper national debt," said Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (news, bio, voting record), D-Md.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: budgetsurplus; democrats; predict; sizable
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1 posted on 03/28/2007 6:57:26 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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That's what I love about the dems,, they're always so "optimistic", even as the bottom of the boat is rotting away from under their very feet.

---

On the Net:

House Budget Committee: http://budget.house.gov


2 posted on 03/28/2007 6:59:07 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: NormsRevenge

They forgot to mention that they've got to hold the line on spending, but they won't.


3 posted on 03/28/2007 6:59:54 PM PDT by Brilliant
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Democrats celebrate on Capitol Hill in Washington, Friday, March 23, 2007, after a sharply divided House of Representatives voted to order President Bush to bring combat troops home from Iraq next year. From left are, House Majority Whip James Clyburn of S.C., Rep. Patrick Murphy, D-Pa., House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, of Calif., and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer of Md. (AP Photo/Dennis Cook)


4 posted on 03/28/2007 7:01:53 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: NormsRevenge

I like how the article never mentions that President Bush's tax cuts have tremendously increased revenue coming into the US budget process.


5 posted on 03/28/2007 7:10:54 PM PDT by lonestar67 (Its time to withdraw from the War on Bush-- your side is hopelessly lost in a quagmire.)
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Meanwhile, a FRequent visitor from a parallel universe and currently serving in Congre$$ .. sets us straight on PlameGate.
Dems. Justice. mutually exclusive terms .. and this is called "Oversight".

He's got a mighty good Ross Perot 'charts and all ears' thing going ..

House Oversight and Government Reform Committee member Rep. Dennis Kucinich, D-Ohio, holds up a flow chart during questioning of former CIA operative Valerie Plame, Friday, March 16, 2007, on Capitol Hill in Washington. (AP Photo/Dennis Cook')

6 posted on 03/28/2007 7:11:01 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: lonestar67

T'wouldn't be prudent to include that little detail.
Nope. ;-)


7 posted on 03/28/2007 7:12:58 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: NormsRevenge

[Democrats say the plan would finally mean a surplus after years of red ink under Bush and a GOP-controlled Congress.]

There won't be any surplus after they kill the goose that lays the golden eggs.


8 posted on 03/28/2007 7:13:08 PM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (")
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To: NormsRevenge
"Happy days are here again!" COME ON! EVERYBODY SING!

The 'RATS are back in charge and the days of gloom and doom are behind us as long as we let them raise the hell out of our taxes!

"Happy days are here again!"

9 posted on 03/28/2007 7:13:12 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When I was a kid, "global warming" was known as "the weather.")
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To: NormsRevenge

Tax cuts work. Raising taxes doesn't.


10 posted on 03/28/2007 7:14:41 PM PDT by popdonnelly (Our first responsibility is to keep the power of the Presidency out of the hands of the Clintons.)
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To: NormsRevenge
Extending those tax cuts would cost about $250 billion in 2012 alone

It costs who???

11 posted on 03/28/2007 7:16:06 PM PDT by digger48
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To: NormsRevenge

Static scoring makes raising taxes a fiscal responsibility winner ever time. Just do the math.


12 posted on 03/28/2007 7:44:55 PM PDT by Torie (The real facts can sometimes be inconvenient things)
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To: NormsRevenge

As usual, the Dims flunk Economics 101.


13 posted on 03/28/2007 8:06:56 PM PDT by Purrcival (Grab the popcorn, it's the Nancy Pelosi Comedy Hour!)
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To: NormsRevenge

>House Democrats pressed ahead Wednesday with a budget plan predicting a sizable surplus in five years

Under what accounting method?


14 posted on 03/28/2007 8:09:46 PM PDT by AZRepublican ("The degree in which a measure is necessary can never be a test of the legal right to adopt it.")
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To: NormsRevenge

"I guess I can go back to sleep now."

15 posted on 03/28/2007 8:13:05 PM PDT by Jhensy
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To: AZRepublican

Hi AZ

"Straight Line La Cosa Nostra Obfuscation Accounting Method"


16 posted on 03/28/2007 8:14:06 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (Misery loves miserable company.......ask any liberal. Hunter in 08!)
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To: AZRepublican

Nice weather, eh?


17 posted on 03/28/2007 8:15:12 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (Misery loves miserable company.......ask any liberal. Hunter in 08!)
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To: NormsRevenge

What did you expect?

"Now that we're in charge, things will get worse".??


18 posted on 03/28/2007 8:19:08 PM PDT by airborne (Airborne! Ranger! Combat Tested Vietnam Veteran! DUNCAN HUNTER !!)
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To: NormsRevenge
WASHINGTON - House Democrats pressed ahead Wednesday with a budget plan predicting a sizable surplus in five years...the budget deficit has been falling steadily, twenty-five percent in the last year alone, under Bush's tax cuts - we will have a decent surplus in five years if the 'rats keep their hands off of the cuts......
19 posted on 03/28/2007 8:51:30 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: lonestar67
I like how the article never mentions that President Bush's tax cuts have tremendously increased revenue coming into the US budget process.

Stolen bread is always sweeter to the thief. With Democrats predicting a sizable budget surplus, I predict record deficits.

Democrats, and politicians in general do not understand zero. But then, why should they? Ever since they put income tax on us, they have been in debt. Zero is far far from where we are now and I suspect we will never see the government in the black.

20 posted on 03/28/2007 10:36:38 PM PDT by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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