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San Francisco's Affordable Housing Shell Game
The Pasadena Pundit ^ | April 21, 2007 | Wayne Lusvardi

Posted on 04/21/2007 12:33:33 PM PDT by WayneLusvardi

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1 posted on 04/21/2007 12:33:35 PM PDT by WayneLusvardi
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To: WayneLusvardi
average housing cost is $402 per month

I would hate to see what kind of a dump one gets for $400.00 a month in SF.

2 posted on 04/21/2007 12:51:19 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (In this (political) War, Republicans are gutless appeasers. -- Ann Coulter)
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To: Michael.SF.

That must be $402. per person.


3 posted on 04/21/2007 12:56:33 PM PDT by RGSpincich
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: Baynative
According to Rental.com the cheapest average cost is just over $800.00 for a studio in the Mission District. Note also that that is for 2005.
5 posted on 04/21/2007 1:06:24 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (In this (political) War, Republicans are gutless appeasers. -- Ann Coulter)
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To: Baynative

No one can take the “housing crisis” in SF seriously unless they talk about rent control, which is the real cause of the high cost of new rentals.


6 posted on 04/21/2007 1:09:03 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (In this (political) War, Republicans are gutless appeasers. -- Ann Coulter)
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To: Michael.SF.

The $402 figure is actually for housing without a mortgage. The figure for housing with mortgages is $2558.


7 posted on 04/21/2007 1:14:49 PM PDT by sailor4321
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To: Michael.SF.

U.S. Census Community Survey reports $402 per month median housing cost in San Francisco - the link at the U.S. Census is too long to post. But check it out. Even at $800 per month, which is more like reality, or say $1,000 per month, is this really an affordable housing crisis? U.S. Census also reaports 28% of San Franciscans are low income (household income below $29,999). So about a third of the populace are low income and by definition must live in affordable housing.


8 posted on 04/21/2007 1:15:22 PM PDT by WayneLusvardi (It's more complex than it might seem)
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To: WayneLusvardi

I don’t see in the census data this guy is getting his figure of 44% “low income”. Can anyone help me find this?


9 posted on 04/21/2007 1:15:56 PM PDT by sailor4321
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To: sailor4321

Here’s the link to the $402 month housing cost figure from the U.S. Census

http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/STTable?_bm=y&-geo_id=16000US0667000&-qr_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_S2507&-ds_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_


10 posted on 04/21/2007 1:25:56 PM PDT by WayneLusvardi (It's more complex than it might seem)
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To: WayneLusvardi

The link below from the U.S. Census shows about 26% family poverty in San Francisco

http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/STTable?_bm=y&-geo_id=16000US0667000&-qr_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_S1702&-ds_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_&-redoLog=false

But another link shows 28% low income households (below $24,999 income/year) here:

http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/STTable?_bm=y&-geo_id=16000US0667000&-qr_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_S1702&-ds_name=ACS_2005_EST_G00_&-redoLog=false

So the 44% number should be corrected to 28%. But the point still holds. About a third of SF’s populace is low income and by definition must live in affordable housing. Rental listings are not a good indicator of housing costs for units which are never advertised or put on the market for various reasons.


11 posted on 04/21/2007 1:34:04 PM PDT by WayneLusvardi (It's more complex than it might seem)
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To: WayneLusvardi

I love SF but I wont live there because of the impending “Big One”. According to a report last night on The Weather Channel, the Marina district is built on landfill and will turn to quicksand. Most of the housing was built years ago when there were no earthquake standards. The fire that devastated The City in 1906 is nothing compared to the fires that will ensue when The Big One hits which will be in the next 10 minutes or 30 years from now.


12 posted on 04/21/2007 1:42:31 PM PDT by CAWats (People that are easily angered are easily frightened.)
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To: WayneLusvardi

If you follow the “show more” link under Housing Characteristics, you’ll find the $402 figure is for housing units without a mortgage, of which there are 37,043. For the 85,560 housing units with a mortgage, the median monthly costs are $2,558.

Notwithstanding, the fundamental point you make is a good one. I do wonder to what extent age distribution has an impact, however. For example around 70,000 (corresponding roughly with the “low income” population) SF residents are on Social Security. They may (or may not) be living in some of that older housing in less desireable parts of town which would otherwise be available for younger families. (Don’t tell the liberals or else they’ll propose draconian “assisted suicide” laws to free up “affordable” housing on the cheap!) However, my point is that “snapshot” data may not give a nuanced enough picture, here -— you really need to consider how the population is distributed in terms of stages of life.


13 posted on 04/21/2007 1:43:25 PM PDT by sailor4321
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To: WayneLusvardi

The author is wrong about the shell game: After the con man finishes shuffling, the ball isn’t under ANY of the cups - he’s palmed it.

How’s that for an analogy to the SF housing market?


14 posted on 04/21/2007 1:48:20 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows ("I AM A SEXY SHOELESS GOD OF WAR!!!" --http://www.giantitp.com/comics/oots0439.html)
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To: WayneLusvardi

In the places I’ve lived, “low income housing” initiatives (when you really looked into it) were about ensuring housing stock for maids and lawn boys to live in, while ensuring they were “comfortable” enought to stay maids and lawn boys -— and to do this on the public’s nickel.


15 posted on 04/21/2007 1:49:47 PM PDT by sailor4321
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To: WayneLusvardi

I can tell you how that figure is realistic. We are apartment owners, and have people paying 1/3 of what the market rent could be, due to rent control. We, as property owners are required to only raise rents at a rate the city allows, which last years was about 1/3 the rate of inflation. It doesn’t take too long for one to get affordable housing, simply by staying in your apartment, your rent increases, far less than inflation. We are forced to subsidize the “poor”. The politicians have figured out that there are far fewer landlords than renters, so they pander to renters. The upside is that through legal means, landlords are able to remove their rental stock from the market and convert them to condominiums, or the lates fad, “TICS” which are “tenancy in COmmon”. Unfortunately, rent control is going to force us to sell, convert, or remove our units from the rental market. In the end, San Franfreako will be left with little or any rental properties, due to the unintended consequences of rent control. It simply does not make economic sense to rent apartments to people in this city. Sure does wreak of a takings clause argument, however the Supreme court heard a case recently, where they denied the claim under the takings clause. I guess the city government is allowed to come into my wallet every month, and force me to subsidize those poor renters. It might be noted, that there are many surgeons on rent control, who pay 500 / month, in a city where their apartment could easily rent for 1500 - 2000 per month. Frankly, we are done with these idiots and are selling our building, probably to a condo conversion corporation.


16 posted on 04/21/2007 2:56:51 PM PDT by krogers58
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

To: WayneLusvardi

High crime centers around a skyscraper city core provide two “benefits” to liberal politicians: a body of dependent, low income voters who suck up services conveniently provided by an army of social workers, and who always pull the “D” lever; and a perpetual source of scary crime incidents guaranteed the gentry from even dreaming of moving back close to the core of the city, even with low home prices.

Like the mafia guy who both owned the overloaded truck that ruined the roadway as well as the contract to fix the roadway, politicians reap the rewards of neglecting their cities to death.

Look at all it has done for Detroit, which will now never be rehabilitated. It’s a permanent shell of its former self.


18 posted on 04/21/2007 5:33:50 PM PDT by TenthAmendmentChampion (Pray for our President and for our heroes in Iraq and Afghanistan, and around the world!)
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To: WayneLusvardi
By any objective measure, San Francisco already has too much preferential affordable housing for the poor that is forcing the homegrown working class into exile in the suburbs.

But, but,....
"From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs!"

19 posted on 04/21/2007 5:58:05 PM PDT by Wheee The People (Go FRed)
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To: Michael.SF.
I find it had to believe a good apartment in a safe neighborhood goes for so little. A $402 a month rental bargain in San Francisco? The writer must be jesting.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

20 posted on 04/21/2007 6:40:12 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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