Posted on 05/07/2007 9:32:58 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
In the first poll of New Hampshire Republican Primary voters since the GOP debate at the Reagan Library last week, Mitt Romney, former Governor of neighboring Massachusetts, jumps into a breathtaking lead over Rudolph Giuliani and John McCain, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely NH Republican Primary voters conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston.
Romney gets 32% today, measurably better than Giuliani at 23% and McCain at 22%, who tie for 2nd place. Actor Fred Thompson, who was not included in previous SurveyUSA polling of New Hampshire GOP Primary voters, but who is included in these results, finishes 4th, at 11%.
Who is Up? Who is Down?
Compared to a NH SurveyUSA WBZ-TV poll released 1/29/07, Giuliani and McCain have each lost 10 points. The two had been tied for first, 33% then for Giuliani, 32% then for McCain.
Romney is up 11 points, from 21% then to 32% now. That's a 21-point swing to Romney among likely GOP Primary voters.
What's changed?
In January, Romney got 16% among those in favor of stem-cell research. Today Romney gets 31% among those in favor of stem-cell research. Romney's debate answer on this question -- so scholarly that moderator Chris Matthews momentarily thought Romney had mis-heard the question -- appears to have resonated. But at the same time, Romney's stem-cell answer has not cost Romney support among pro-life voters.
Romney gets 38% among pro-life voters today, 19 points higher than McCain, 22 points higher than Giuliani and 26 points higher than Thompson, who are clustered far back.
Among the 60% of NH Primary voters who say they are Conservative, Romney gets 35% today, 15 points better than McCain, 18 points better than Giuliani, 21 points better than Thompson.
Giuliani's support skews young. McCain's support skews old. Romney's support is even across all age groups.
Because SurveyUSA's questionnaire in January did not explicitly name Thompson, SurveyUSA does not here produce tracking graphs, since an exact, apples-to-apples track, is not possible. However, you may access the 1/29/07 New Hampshire data here.
NH seems to be going Left. It would be neat to see either Mitt or Rudy win and win with more votes than either Hil or Obama in their primary. Forget Fred. He is stil deciding and will be until Nov.!!!!!!!!
This may not mean they like Mitt Romney as much as it says they do not accept Rudy Giuliani or John McCain.
Local liberal network. Long-entrenched in the region, an always-clueless cast of air-headed dopes, now aging and franticly clinging to old ways.
The Republicans I have spoken with here since the debate support the results of this poll. Everyone agrees Romney won the debate. I’m not at all surprised about this poll.
NH is a must win for Mitt. If he doesn’t win the NH primary, then it is a fatal blow to his Presidential goals.
Oh, just give the northeat to the Mass and NH libs - and also the corrupt Illinois mobster politicians like Madame Hilary as well - blue states dont need ‘em - don’t want them -
But does the Republican Liberty Caucus think that Ron Paul’s foreign policy is opposed to the “Eisenhower Doctrine” ...
“Oh God !” MSNBC Chris Matthews’ response .
Mitts OK with me if he wins the primary ... but I’m really glad that McCain’s no longer top-dog in NH.
There is talk that NH may advance its primary into late this year. I think a Romney win there is almost inevitable with him being from Mass and all. And the momentum generated with this early victory may be unstoppable going into January where he is only a few points behind the frontrunners in iowa and nevada. We’ll see.
Mitt Romney put in a fine debate performance. He was sharp, humorous and very attractive.
McCain came off as a grouchy little pirate. Rudy babbled, stumbled, and failed to come up to the level of front runner because of the need to tip toe around the issues by virtue of his past. Maybe this would explain it for now.
It could change if Fred enters the race!
There are only two running for the GOP that I could not vote for, McCrazy and cut and run Paul.
That’s gonna leave a mark on the Rbotz.
this is all nonsense
why FR has such a drumbeat for this guy is beyond me.....
its sad really.....we're destroying our chances so early in the game.....
you may not like Rudy and you may not like McCAin...but both of those are far more electable ....and personally I think Rudy can take it all ( although I wish Fred would actually DO something)....
to think of Rudy as a liberal and not Romney is laughable....
there is a case to be made that Romney is the worse kind of liberal....one that hides behind "conservative" values all the while pushing liberal agenda.....
There is no doubt that Romney will be the nominee. As they say, “Follow the money”.
http://www.politicalmoneyline.com/cgi-win/x_itoc.exe?DoFn=P80003353ROMNEY,$MITT08
This is a list of his donors.
Romney collected $20 million from individuals and corporations from January to March when he was almost unheard of and most definitely down in the polls. I wonder what these money people knew that we didn’t know.
“Suddenly, New Hampshire Likes What It Sees in Romney [Romney Leading in NH Poll After GOP Debate]”
Romney will also pull ahead in South Carolina. Iowa though, belongs to McCain. I look forward to more debates and to see if Fred gets in or not.
Barring a shake-up like Fred getting in or a gaff by Romney in a debate....I think we’re looking at the nominee here. Not my choice, but of the top three leading candidates, he’s the ONE I would hold my nose for.
That's a hilarious description! LOL!
However, I like a lot of what I've seen in Romney.
In reality I think it has to be Mitt, and that's ok. This is the party that nominated Bob Dole. None of the thoroughbred conservatives will get nominated.
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