I have a feeling he’ll get pardoned more or less immediately after the 2008 election, just to clear his record so a criminal conviction won’t be a bar to any future employment (because he’ll surely already be out on bail by then). And his friends will make sure he gets the $250,000 back one way or another, and will make sure he gets a plum job in the private sector if he wants it. Still sucks though. Wilson and Plame should be the ones in the slammer.
If they wait that long he will already be serving his sentence and bail will not be an issue.