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New Poll: Mitt Romney takes lead in South Carolina (+17 in 1 mo.); Fred Thompson drops big (-11)
American Research Group ^ | 30 September 2007 | ARG

Posted on 09/30/2007 6:17:48 PM PDT by Spiff

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To: All

It helps when you can write a big fat check to get votes as Romney can.

But, not to fear. One state does not determine the election.


21 posted on 09/30/2007 6:27:07 PM PDT by Sun (Duncan Hunter: pro-God/life/borders, understands Red China threat, NRA A+rating! www.gohunter08.com)
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To: Spiff

This is amazing. I had to check the source because I didn’t believe it. I honestly thought SC was a write off for Mitt.

That said, it makes sense. The NH race has tightened up for this reason - Mitt has maintained his conservative support but the liberals and some of the moderates supporting him are afraid he is too conservative to win (imagine that) and it might be safer to go with Guiliani or McCain. SC is reliably conservative.

Amazing.


22 posted on 09/30/2007 6:27:47 PM PDT by Canticle_of_Deborah (Catholic4Mitt)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
This poll could never be an outlier. How could you think such a thing? LOL

I guess we'll know that next month, won't we?

23 posted on 09/30/2007 6:28:29 PM PDT by Spiff (<------ Mitt Romney Supporter (Don't tase me, bro!) Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
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To: Spiff

If Thompson’s going to make a move let him make a move. How long do conservatives continue to prop this guy up without some help from the candidate himself. HEY Thompson,GET in some debates and show the base what you’ve got,otherwise get the hell out !!!


24 posted on 09/30/2007 6:28:29 PM PDT by Obie Wan
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To: CharlesWayneCT

So maybe Thompson should have waited until just before the election? The sad fact is that we are forced to choose between pathetic and unbelievably pathetic.

Personally, I choose pathetic... Which is Giuliani. I think Giuliani has the best chance of beating the Beast. Though even his chance is at best 50-50.


25 posted on 09/30/2007 6:29:41 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Obie Wan

Um, Fred has, and Precious Willard is still in 4th place.


26 posted on 09/30/2007 6:30:43 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: MovementConservative
Good. Romney would be an excellent candidate. Well spoken, highly successful, religious, and espousing conservative social and economic positions. Sounds like a winner to me.

Ah, but will Dobson endorse him or form a third party if he's nominated. (end/sarc)

Dobson's come out against Thompson, Guiliani, but I haven't heard what he has to say about Romney...has Dobson made a statement concerning him? If he's also against Romney, then the plan for a third party was the idea from the start for Dobson. Doesn't he remember what happened when Ross Perot ran?

27 posted on 09/30/2007 6:31:04 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: TheLion

Actually, if there had been a debate or something else significant, I WOULD believe it. I just don’t think anything has been going on that would indicate Mitt has really tripled his support.

Perhaps our SC folks can explain - but without an explanation, I’m very suspicious of this poll.

See here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_primary-233.html


28 posted on 09/30/2007 6:31:19 PM PDT by Mr Rogers (I'm agnostic on evolution, but sit ups are from Hell!)
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To: Maynerd; All
I'm looking forward to a few debates with the big three and then the voters will decide.

Speaking of debates. I was watching the Chris Matthews show tonight (actually I was flipping through the channels and came across it by chance) and Chris and the panel were saying that it was a huge mistake for the GOP top tier candidates to avoid the Black sponsored debate held recently.

Can anyone make me feel better and tell me why it was not a mistake? Doesn't the GOP need every vote they can get? Why discount a large group of voters?
29 posted on 09/30/2007 6:31:21 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Spiff

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Pretty fishy. They provide no details on their company, history, or purpose. A real communications firm would have a much better web page.


30 posted on 09/30/2007 6:31:32 PM PDT by stinkerpot65 (Global warming is a Marxist lie.)
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To: Spiff

bookmark


31 posted on 09/30/2007 6:32:00 PM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: Brilliant

He has the least chance. Two liberal nominees from each party with a Conservative 3rd party choice popping up means Hillary wins with a plurality. Fred is the only choice.


32 posted on 09/30/2007 6:32:16 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: MovementConservative

“Well spoken, ..., religious, and espousing conservative social and economic positions.”

Yes, ever since 2006 he has been.


33 posted on 09/30/2007 6:32:30 PM PDT by DemEater
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Come on,Fred hasn’t done crap and you know it. Precious Willard might just beat this guy if he doesn’t get going !!!


34 posted on 09/30/2007 6:33:03 PM PDT by Obie Wan
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To: Spiff

I don’t believe this.


35 posted on 09/30/2007 6:33:40 PM PDT by the Real fifi
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To: TheLion

I don’t put much stock in polls, even the ones which show my favorite candidate ahead, especially one which purports to have polled “likely” voters. Even at this stage in the race, I’m betting lots of folk aren’t really paying too much attention yet. No sore loser here, I’m willing to wait and see how it all plays out.


36 posted on 09/30/2007 6:33:58 PM PDT by Theresawithanh (FRED!)
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To: Brilliant

Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson are tied for the lead among Republicans.

National Primary
Republicans Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Brownback 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Gingrich 12% 10% 13% 12% 10% 7% 6%
Giuliani 34% 27% 28% 24% 30% 27% 24%
Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4%
Hunter - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
McCain 30% 23% 24% 20% 14% 13% 14%
Paul 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Romney 7% 12% 8% 10% 10% 16% 9%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
F Thompson ni 9% 6% 15% 17% 16% 23%
Undecided 9% 14% 13% 11% 11% 14% 15%
Question wording:


37 posted on 09/30/2007 6:34:41 PM PDT by Aria (NO RAPIST ENABLER FOR PRESIDENT!!!)
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To: Maynerd

Don’t count on Fred being in any of those debates. He ducked the two that came after he announced. He ducked those that came before. The GOP has made grievous errors in this process. I’m afraid that the end result will be four years of Hillary.

But the likelihood is that Hillary will screw up so badly that the conservatives will take a majority in 2010, though maybe not under the banner of the GOP. So maybe not all is lost.


38 posted on 09/30/2007 6:34:41 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Theresawithanh

I agree with you about the polls....there are just too many of them. If you follow Romney threads you might know some who I was directing my comments to.


39 posted on 09/30/2007 6:36:16 PM PDT by TheLion (How about "Comprehensive Immigration Enforcement," for a change)
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To: Spiff

Swapped Thompson and Romney data.


40 posted on 09/30/2007 6:36:36 PM PDT by Fido969 ("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
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