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New Poll: Mitt Romney takes lead in South Carolina (+17 in 1 mo.); Fred Thompson drops big (-11)
American Research Group ^ | 30 September 2007 | ARG

Posted on 09/30/2007 6:17:48 PM PDT by Spiff

South Carolina
Likely Republican

Primary Voters

Dec

06

Feb 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07
Brownback - - 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1%
Gilmore - 1% 1% 1% 1% ni ni ni
Gingrich 15% 10% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7%
Giuliani 28% 29% 23% 23% 22% 28% 26% 23%
Hagel - - 1% - - ni ni ni
Huckabee 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3% 9% 1%
Hunter - 1% - 1% 2% 1% - 1%
Keyes ni ni ni ni ni ni ni -
McCain 35% 35% 36% 32% 23% 10% 12% 15%
Pataki - - - - - ni ni ni
Paul ni - - - - 3% 2% 2%
Romney 5% 5% 6% 10% 8% 7% 9% 26%
Tancredo ni 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson ni ni 10% 13% 19% 27% 21% 10%
T Thompson - - 1% 1% - - ni ni
Undecided 16% 18% 12% 11% 14% 13% 12% 13%


=====================================================
About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (524 Republicans and 76 independent voters).

Sample Dates: September 26-29, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; elections; flipflopney; fred; fredtanks; fredthompson; mittrhymeswith; mittromney; mitwits; outlier; romney; romneyhopes; slickwillard; thenextpresident; willardwishes
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* Mitt Romney 26% (+17)
* Rudy Giuliani 23% (-3)
* John McCain 15% (+3)
* Fred Thompson 10% (-11)
One month trend in parens.

* Mitt Romney 26% (+19)
* Rudy Giuliani 23% (-5)
* John McCain 15% (+5)
* Fred Thompson 10% (-17)
Two month trend in parens.

1 posted on 09/30/2007 6:17:53 PM PDT by Spiff
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To: asparagus; Austin1; bcbuster; beaversmom; bethtopaz; BlueAngel; Bluestateredman; borntoraisehogs; ..

• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List


2 posted on 09/30/2007 6:18:51 PM PDT by Spiff (<------ Mitt Romney Supporter (Don't tase me, bro!) Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
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To: asparagus; Austin1; bcbuster; beaversmom; bethtopaz; BlueAngel; Bluestateredman; borntoraisehogs; ..

• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List


3 posted on 09/30/2007 6:19:17 PM PDT by Spiff (<------ Mitt Romney Supporter (Don't tase me, bro!) Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
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To: Spiff

Uh huh.


4 posted on 09/30/2007 6:20:41 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: Spiff

Like I said from the beginning... Thompson made a big mistake in waiting so long to get in. Unfortunately, we are confronted with a lackluster slate of candidates. We’ve just got to choose the one who has the best chance of beating Hillary—for the good of the country. Otherwise we might as well kiss the American dream goodbye.


5 posted on 09/30/2007 6:21:26 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Spiff

I wonder if the question was “regardless of which one you plan to vote for..which candidate is the best looking?”


6 posted on 09/30/2007 6:22:25 PM PDT by Aria (NO RAPIST ENABLER FOR PRESIDENT!!!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Yeah, Slick Willard’s got the big MO, dontchaknow? He’s WAY more popular in SC than Fred. This poll could never be an outlier. How could you think such a thing? LOL


7 posted on 09/30/2007 6:23:09 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (John Cox 2008: Because Duncan Hunter just isn't obscure enough for me!)
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To: Spiff

Sorry, but Mitt almost TRIPLES his support in SC?

I doubt it.


8 posted on 09/30/2007 6:23:23 PM PDT by Mr Rogers (I'm agnostic on evolution, but sit ups are from Hell!)
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To: Spiff
WOW!!! That is very interesting if the poll is not biased. Anyway, Governor Romney will make a great President as does Fred Thompson. My great fear is that Romney Christian sect of Mormonism will defeat him in the primaries. Very sadly many people on the right cannot accept Mormonism, and it is the ultimate act of stupidity to consider a man Christian sect of Mormonism as the utlimate disqualifier for him to be President.
9 posted on 09/30/2007 6:23:45 PM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops and President Bush)
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To: Spiff

Good. Romney would be an excellent candidate. Well spoken, highly successful, religious, and espousing conservative social and economic positions. Sounds like a winner to me.


10 posted on 09/30/2007 6:24:21 PM PDT by MovementConservative (Terminate the Duke 88)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Uh huh.

If you look at the 2 month trend, Fred Thompson has dropped 17 points.

11 posted on 09/30/2007 6:24:30 PM PDT by Spiff (<------ Mitt Romney Supporter (Don't tase me, bro!) Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
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To: Spiff

Good stuff! Notice the usual sore losers are out and about on the thread!


12 posted on 09/30/2007 6:25:00 PM PDT by TheLion (How about "Comprehensive Immigration Enforcement," for a change)
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To: Brilliant
Thompson made a big mistake in waiting so long to get in. Unfortunately, we are confronted with a lackluster slate of candidates. We’ve just got to choose the one who has the best chance of beating Hillary—for the good of the country. Otherwise we might as well kiss the American dream goodbye.

Agreed. The Fred heads will scream conspiracy, MSM RNC bias etc.

I'm looking forward to a few debates with the big three and then the voters will decide.

13 posted on 09/30/2007 6:25:47 PM PDT by Maynerd (Hilary = amnesty and socialized medicine)
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To: Spiff

Governors win the Presidency. Senators don’t.

At least not in the past 47 years, they haven’t.


14 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:08 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Spiff

Not surprised Romney is doing well, he’s a real candidate unlike the other new southern candidate.


15 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:13 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: Brilliant

If one poll was to be believed, it looks like he didn’t wait long enough, because his highest numbers were right after announcing.

I don’t put much credence in one poll though.

Still, I’m happy to see Romney polling well in this and several other states. I wish Thompson’s and Giuliani’s numbers were reversed though.


16 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:21 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Spiff

Guiliani is the only consistent one, and will likely win South Carolina without much trouble.


17 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:42 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Spiff

Mitt and Julie Anne at the top. Yuck.


18 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:49 PM PDT by SmoothTalker
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To: Spiff

I’m not familiar with this polling outfit, but frankly those figures just are not credible.

Even when Giuliani stood up and announced that he never saw an abortion he didn’t like and that women had a constitutional right to have the taxpayers pay for it, he didn’t drop that much.

It looks bogus to me.


19 posted on 09/30/2007 6:26:59 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Spiff

Polling mental patients and pet canaries doesn’t count, dude. Come back with an authentic poll that joshes with reality. You Mittwitts are pathetic putting out this baloney with a straight face.


20 posted on 09/30/2007 6:27:05 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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